1. Executive Summary
NUMI by Agentic AI — Version 1.0 | February 2026 | Confidential
Business Overview
Agentic AI Ltd. is an Israeli technology company developing Numi — a digital baby sleep consultant powered by agentic artificial intelligence (Agentic AI). Numi is not another sleep app and not a chatbot that answers questions. She is an autonomous AI agent that manages the baby's sleep training process end-to-end — diagnosing, building a personalized plan, accompanying parents in real time (even at 2:00 AM), sending reminders, encouraging, identifying problems before they occur, and adapting herself over months and years. All of this in Hebrew, via WhatsApp, at one-tenth the cost of a private sleep consultant.
Numi's professional foundation is the proven methodology of Dorit Kreizer from her book "Shhhh... At Night We Sleep" and years of clinical experience with thousands of families. The company is not starting from scratch — it is scaling an existing, successful business through technology. A proof of concept (POC) is already operational today.
Key Metrics at a Glance
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Legal Name | Agentic AI Ltd. |
| Product | Numi — Agentic AI Baby Sleep Consultant |
| Founders | Rotem Levi (CTO) and Dorit Kreizer (Sleep Expert) |
| Ownership Split | 50% / 50% |
| Stage | Active POC, Pre-revenue |
| Funding Required | $100,000 (~370,000 ILS) — Owner's Loan |
| Monthly Burn | ~$7,000 (~25,900 ILS) |
| Zero-Revenue Runway | ~14 months |
| Break-Even Point | 280 customers (2.6% of Israel's addressable market) |
| First Revenue | Month 3–4 (leveraging Dorit's existing audience) |
| Global Market | $420M (2024) → $1.25B (2033), CAGR 12–13% |
| Expected Return (Base Case) | x15–x30 on investment |
The Problem
All existing solutions fall short:
| Existing Solution | Price | Key Limitation |
|---|---|---|
| Private sleep consultant | 1,500–3,000 ILS | Not available at 2:00 AM; limited to business hours |
| Books and courses | 50–500 ILS | Static, no personalized guidance |
| Facebook groups | Free | Unprofessional advice, contradictory information |
| Global apps (Huckleberry, Pampers) | $60–$180/year | English only, reactive (only answer questions), no WhatsApp |
The Solution: Numi
Numi is a multi-agent system (Multi-Agent System) built on Google ADK and Gemini 2.0 Flash, comprising four specialized agents:
1. Sleep Agent — "Dorit's Clock"
Manages a real-time delay timer, accompanies the parent minute-by-minute during training nights
2. Nutrition Agent
Analyzes correlations between eating and sleeping, identifies patterns
3. Siblings Agent
Coordinates sleep schedules between children, prevents family "meltdowns" (an exclusive advantage — no competitor offers this)
4. Long-Term Memory
Tracks across months and years, identifies regressions, learns across children
The Market
| Market | Year | Size (Births/Year) | Key Advantage | Customer Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | Year 1 | ~182,000 | Zero AI competitors in Hebrew; WhatsApp 98%; Dorit's brand | 100–500 |
| United Kingdom | Year 2 | ~653,000 | CPM 47% lower than US; documented gap in NHS services | 300–1,500 |
| United States | Year 3 | ~4,200,000 | Massive market; proven product; VC fundraising | 800–4,000 |
Israel is the ideal starting point: a market small enough for rapid dominance, the highest fertility rate in the OECD (2.9 children/family — making the siblings logic a critical advantage), a WhatsApp-first culture, and zero AI competition in Hebrew.
The Team
| Founder | Role | Key Contribution | Cost to Company (Year 1) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rotem Levi | CTO, Co-Founder | Full technology development: AI architecture, Backend, Frontend. Senior engineer at Bigabid (public company). | $0 — works on Numi evenings and weekends |
| Dorit Kreizer | Sleep Expert, Co-Founder | Proven methodology, book, brand, existing customer base, organic marketing | $0 fixed — 50% revenue share per customer |
The synergy: Rotem without Dorit = technology without content and audience. Dorit without Rotem = methodology without a technology product. Together = a complete product with built-in Product-Market Fit.
Investment Structure
| Parameter | Details |
|---|---|
| Amount | $100,000 (~370,000 ILS) |
| Type | Owner's Loan from Dorit to the company |
| Interest | 0% |
| Priority | Full repayment before any profit distribution, dividends, or founder salaries |
| Collateral | Lien on all company assets and intellectual property |
| External Capital | None — zero dilution, full control by both founders |
| Governance | Expenditure above $1,000 requires joint approval of both founders |
| Reporting | Full monthly financial report — revenue, expenses, customers, loan balance |
Financial Forecast — Three Scenarios
| Metric | Conservative | Base | Optimistic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 Customers | 100 | 300 | 500 |
| Year 3 Customers | 1,200 | 3,500 | 6,000 |
| Year 1 Revenue | $30K (~111K ILS) | $90K (~333K ILS) | $162K (~601K ILS) |
| Year 3 Revenue | $420K (~1.55M ILS) | $1.22M (~4.5M ILS) | $2.25M (~8.3M ILS) |
| Year 3 EBITDA | +$70K (~259K ILS) | +$725K (~2.7M ILS) | +$1.55M (~5.7M ILS) |
| Full Loan Repayment | Month 36 | Month 30–32 | Month 23 |
| ROI on $100K (Year 3) | x4.2 | x12.2 | x22.5 |
Revenue Model: Annual subscription paid upfront ($400–$800/year) with a 50/50 split between the consultant and the platform. Company's share: ~$300 per customer/year. No freemium model — paying customers only.
Why This Is a Good Investment — Seven Reasons
1. The downside is limited and predefined
The maximum loss is $100,000 (~370,000 ILS). No additional guarantees, no future obligations, no debts to third parties. The amount is known from day one.
2. Even in total failure — assets are worth money
In the event of failure (probability: ~5%), the intellectual property assets retain a value of $55,000–$120,000. Net loss in the extreme scenario: $0–$45,000 only.
3. Revenue starts early
Dorit comes with customers, a brand, and reputation. First revenues are expected as early as month 3–4 — not month 12 like a typical startup.
4. Low burn = ample time to correct mistakes
$7,000 per month — 4–14x less than a typical startup. 14 months of runway with zero revenue. Enough time to improve, change strategy, or wind down.
5. Low break-even point
280 customers are sufficient — only 2.6% of the addressable market in Israel (10,800 parents willing to pay). An entirely realistic target.
6. Full control — no external investors
Zero dilution. No board of directors. No aggressive growth pressures. Both founders make every decision together.
7. Excellent risk-adjusted return
Weighted expected value: +$1,027,500 (based on detailed probability distribution in Section 10). For every dollar at risk, the expected value is approximately $10 in return.
The Bottom Line
The downside: $100,000 (~370,000 ILS). This is the known amount upfront. It does not grow, inflate, or surprise. Even in the worst-case scenario, the company's assets retain value that offsets a significant portion of the loss.
The upside: 50% ownership in an AI platform in a billion-dollar+ market. Annual revenue of $1.2M+ in the base case by Year 3. Estimated company valuation of $3M–$24M (based on 10–20x revenue multiples). A loan repaid with first priority. And all of this — without giving up a single shekel of ownership to an external investor.
In numerical terms: For every $1 at risk, the expected value is $10 to $50 in return.
The amount is protected by seven mechanisms: asset lien, repayment priority, monthly reporting, expenditure governance, low burn rate, existing customer base, and residual value in failure.
2. Company Overview and Founders Agreement
NUMI by Agentic AI — Version 1.0 | February 2026 | Confidential
2.1 Company Description
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Legal Name | Agentic AI Ltd. |
| Trade Name | Numi by Agentic AI |
| Legal Structure | Limited Company (Ltd.) registered in Israel |
| Headquarters | Israel |
| Year Founded | 2025 |
| Current Stage | POC / Pre-revenue |
| Team Size | 2 co-founders |
| Initial Capital | $100,000 (~370,000 ILS) — Owner's Loan |
Agentic AI is an Israeli technology company developing agentic AI solutions for the parenting and child health domain. The company's flagship product, Numi, is the first of its kind — an autonomous AI-powered baby sleep consultant. The platform provides personalized, adaptive guidance to parents through an AI agent that learns, adapts, and operates autonomously — available 24/7, in Hebrew, via WhatsApp.
Unlike a typical technology startup, Agentic AI is built on an existing and proven asset: Dorit Kreizer's methodology from her book "Shhhh... At Night We Sleep", years of clinical experience with thousands of families, and an active customer base. The company is not starting from scratch — it is scaling an existing, successful business through technology.
2.2 Mission Statement
| Value | Practical Meaning |
|---|---|
| Accessibility | Professional consulting at one-tenth the cost of a private consultant ($600/year vs. $500–$1,500 per session) |
| Availability | 24/7, including nighttime hours when distress peaks — 2:00 AM |
| Language | Hebrew (launch), English (UK, Year 2) |
| Channel | WhatsApp — where parents already are |
| Methodology | Based on a proven method with years of success, not generic internet advice |
2.3 Vision Statement
| Time Horizon | Target |
|---|---|
| Year 1 | Active product in Israel with 300 paying customers, revenue covers expenses |
| Year 2 | Expansion to the UK, 1,200 customers, full profitability |
| Year 3 | US market entry, 3,500 customers, $1.2M+ revenue |
| Year 5 | Leading sleep consulting platform in the English-speaking world, B2B partnerships with HMOs and pediatric clinics, multi-language system |
2.4 Intellectual Property Foundation
Numi's AI is built on the proprietary methodology from Dorit Kreizer's book — "Shhhh... At Night We Sleep". This book represents years of clinical experience distilled into a structured, proven baby sleep training model. The methodology serves as the core knowledge base for Numi's AI agent, giving it clinical depth and experiential insight that competitors building on generic sleep advice cannot replicate.
| IP Asset | Description | Ownership |
|---|---|---|
| Sleep Methodology | Dorit's complete method codified into AI decision trees and conversation flows | Licensed to the company |
| "Dorit's Clock" | A unique graduated response delay system — a core principle of the method | Licensed to the company |
| Multi-Agent Architecture | Sleep agent, nutrition agent, siblings agent, long-term memory | Owned by the company |
| RAG Knowledge Base | Vector database from Dorit's book, consulting experience, and professional content | Owned by the company |
| Source Code | Numi platform, AI agents, interfaces, infrastructure | Owned by the company |
| Data Repositories | Customer data, usage patterns, AI insights | Owned by the company |
2.5 History and Milestones
2024 Q3
Founders identified baby sleep as a critical pain point — initial market research, parent interviews
2024 Q4
Partnership between Rotem and Dorit established — unique combination of technology + clinical expertise
2025 Q1
Market research completed; competitive analysis (11 competitors) — understanding the market, gaps, and opportunities
2025 Q2
Technology architecture designed; Google ADK selected — infrastructure selection, system design
2025 Q3–Q4
POC developed on Google ADK + Gemini — technical proof of concept
2026 Q1
Business plan completed; partnership with Dorit formalized — founders agreement document, terms defined
2026 Q2
MVP development begins with $100K funding — initial investment, build begins
2026 Q3–Q4
First paying customers in Israel — business model validation, first revenues
2.6 Founding Team
Rotem Levi — Co-Founder, CTO
Responsibilities: Full technology development (AI, Backend, Frontend), building and maintaining AI agents, cloud infrastructure, security, strategic and financial decisions (jointly with Dorit).
Transition: Will go full-time when monthly net profit reaches 2x his net salary (~70,000 ILS/month) for 3 consecutive months — a data-driven approach, not a "leap of faith."
Dorit Kreizer — Co-Founder, Sleep Expert
Responsibilities: Methodology and content (feeding the AI knowledge base, validating responses), customer relations, marketing and brand, strategic and financial decisions (jointly with Rotem).
The Synergy: Why This Partnership Works
| Component | Rotem | Dorit | Together |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technology | AI, architecture, development | — | Advanced technology product |
| Methodology | — | Years of experience, book, proven method | AI with genuine clinical depth |
| Audience | — | Thousands of followers, reputation | Customers from day 1, not from zero |
| Brand | — | "Shhhh... At Night We Sleep" | Recognized brand that builds trust |
| Risk | Employed at Bigabid, no financial risk | Continues independent consulting | Both founders financially stable |
| Business Model | Builds the platform | Provides the content + customers | Product + Market = Built-in PMF |
2.7 Advisory Board
Agentic AI is actively building an advisory board with expertise in three critical domains:
Pediatric Sleep Medicine
Why: Clinical credibility, regulatory navigation, methodology validation
Profile: Pediatrician specializing in sleep, or certified neonatal nurse
Compensation: 0.25–0.5% equity, quarterly meetings
AI/ML Engineering
Why: Architecture review, model safety, scaling guidelines
Profile: Senior AI engineer from a leading AI company or research lab
Compensation: 0.25–0.5% equity, monthly meetings
SaaS Growth
Why: GTM strategy, B2B sales, unit economics optimization
Profile: Former VP Growth or CMO at a B2C SaaS company with $10M+ ARR
Compensation: 0.25–0.5% equity, monthly meetings
2.8 Founders Agreement / Term Sheet
A. The Parties
| Party | Name | Role | Ownership Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Founder 1 | Rotem Levi | CTO, Co-Founder | 50% |
| Founder 2 | Dorit Kreizer | Sleep Expert, Co-Founder | 50% |
B. Capital Structure and Initial Investment
| Parameter | Details |
|---|---|
| Funding Type | Owner's Loan from Dorit to the company |
| Loan Amount | $100,000 (~370,000 ILS) |
| Transfer Date | Upon company incorporation and signing of the legal agreement |
| Interest | 0% (interest-free) |
| Collateral | Lien on company assets and intellectual property (see Section G) |
| Repayment Priority | Full priority over profit distribution, dividends, and founder salaries |
| Target Repayment | 18–24 months from company revenues |
| External Venture Capital | None — zero dilution, full control by both founders |
Agentic AI Ltd.
|
+-- 50% Rotem Levi (Co-Founder, CTO)
|
+-- 50% Dorit Kreizer (Co-Founder, Sleep Expert)
|
+-- Owner's Loan: $100,000 from Dorit to the company
(Full repayment priority, before any distribution)
C. Founder Contributions
| Domain | Rotem Levi | Dorit Kreizer |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Capital | — | $100,000 Owner's Loan |
| Technology | Full development: AI, Backend, Frontend, Infrastructure | — |
| Methodology | — | Proven sleep method, book content, clinical experience |
| Time Invested (Year 1) | ~15–20 hours/week (evenings, weekends) | ~15–25 hours/week (consulting, content, marketing) |
| Audience/Customers | — | Existing customer base, thousands of followers, reputation |
| Marketing and Brand | — | "Shhhh... At Night We Sleep" brand, social media presence |
| Strategic Decisions | Joint | Joint |
| Financial Management | Joint | Joint |
D. Compensation and Salary Policy
Year 1: Zero Salaries
| Founder | Monthly Salary | Income Source | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rotem | 0 ILS from Agentic AI | Salary from Bigabid (52,323 ILS gross) | Works on Numi during off-hours |
| Dorit | 0 ILS fixed | Revenue Share — 50% of every customer payment | Continues independent consulting |
After Rotem's Transition to Full-Time:
| Component | Terms |
|---|---|
| Rotem's Salary | Market rate: 50,000–55,000 ILS/month gross (equivalent to current salary) |
| Transition Trigger | Monthly net profit >= 2x Rotem's net salary, for 3 consecutive months |
| Dorit's Salary | Revenue share; option to transition to fixed salary in Year 2+ |
| Priority Order | Loan repayment > Operating expenses > Founder salaries > Dividends |
E. Revenue Sharing Model
| Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Average Price Per Customer | $600/year (~2,220 ILS) |
| Split | 50% to the consultant (Dorit), 50% to the company (Agentic AI) |
| Company's Share Per Customer | $300/year = $25/month |
| Payment Model | Annual, upfront |
Customer pays $600/year
|
+----+----+
| |
50% 50%
| |
$300 $300
To the To the
consultant company
(Dorit) (Agentic AI)
F. Cash Flow Distribution Priority
Priority 1: Ongoing operating costs (~$7,000/month = ~25,900 ILS)
Servers, APIs, marketing, legal, accounting
|
v
Priority 2: Owner's Loan repayment ($100,000)
Every surplus dollar is directed to repayment until fully paid
|
v
Priority 3: UK market expansion fund
Allocation for international growth
|
v
Priority 4: Founder salaries (if applicable)
Only after full loan repayment
|
v
Priority 5: Profit distribution (dividends) by ownership percentage
50/50 -- only after all of the above
Practical meaning: Dorit receives her funds in two ways — (1) ongoing revenue share (50% per customer, from day one), and (2) loan repayment from company surpluses (with first priority). Only after the loan has been fully repaid will additional dividends be considered.
G. Lender Protections (Dorit's Investment Protection)
The loan is secured by seven built-in protection mechanisms:
Protection 1: Company Asset Lien
The loan is secured by a lien on all company assets, including: the Numi platform (source code, architecture, design), data and customer databases, AI models, algorithms, system content, and rights to use the methodology. Even in total failure, the IP assets retain value estimated at $55,000–$120,000.
Protection 2: Liquidation Priority
In the event of company liquidation, priority order: (1) Payment of external debts, (2) Owner's Loan repayment — $100,000 (full priority), (3) Distribution of remaining assets by ownership percentage (50/50). Dorit is "first in line" before any asset distribution to shareholders.
Protection 3: Monthly Financial Reporting
Monthly: Profit & Loss, Cash Flow, Customer Status, Loan Balance. Quarterly: Strategic Review. Annually: External CPA audit (when revenue justifies). Deviations reported as needed with corrective actions.
Protection 4: Expenditure Governance
Up to $1,000: either founder independently. Above $1,000: joint approval required. New contracts, hiring, strategic decisions, pricing changes, budget overruns — all require joint approval.
Protection 5: Low Burn Rate
Monthly expenses: ~$7,000 (vs. $30K–$100K typical startup). Zero-revenue runway: ~14 months (vs. 6–12 months). Daily expense: ~$233. Numi's burn rate is 4–14x lower than a typical startup.
Protection 6: Existing Customer Base
Dorit has an active customer base, a popular book, and social media channels with thousands of followers. The probability of zero revenue over an extended period is extremely low. Revenue is expected as early as month 3–4.
Protection 7: Residual Value in Failure
Even in the worst-case scenario (total failure), the assets built retain value:
| Asset | Estimated Value |
|---|---|
| Source code and platform | $30,000–$60,000 |
| Codified methodology | $10,000–$20,000 |
| Intellectual property rights | $10,000–$30,000 |
| Data repository and insights | $5,000–$10,000 |
| Total | $55,000–$120,000 |
H. Data and Intellectual Property Ownership
| Asset | Ownership | Details |
|---|---|---|
| Customer Data | The Company | All user data, usage patterns, insights |
| Source Code | The Company | All code written for Numi stored in a company-owned repository |
| AI Models | The Company | Models, fine-tuning, embeddings, agent configurations |
| RAG Knowledge Base | The Company | Vector database, processed content, training data |
| Original Methodology | Dorit (licensed) | Dorit licenses the company to use it; see Section I |
| "Numi" Brand | The Company | Trademark, logo, design, marketing materials |
| "Shhhh..." Brand | Dorit | Book title and personal brand remain Dorit's |
I. Intellectual Property Licensing Arrangement
| Parameter | Terms |
|---|---|
| Licensor | Dorit Kreizer |
| Licensee | Agentic AI Ltd. |
| Subject of License | Sleep methodology from the book "Shhhh... At Night We Sleep" |
| License Type | Exclusive for use in a digital platform (AI agents) |
| Scope | Baby sleep consulting via AI |
| Duration | As long as the company is active |
| Consideration | 50% company ownership + 50% revenue share |
| Restrictions | Does not prevent Dorit from continuing personal consulting, selling books, or giving lectures |
| New IP | Any new IP created for Numi belongs to the company |
| Dissolution | If the company dissolves — the methodology license reverts to Dorit |
J. Vesting (Share Vesting)
| Parameter | Terms |
|---|---|
| Vesting Schedule | 4 years with a 1-year Cliff |
| Cliff | 12 months — if a founder leaves before one year, they forfeit all shares |
| Post-Cliff Vesting | Monthly vesting — 1/48 of shares each month |
| Accelerated Vesting | In the event of an Exit (sale/IPO) — full and immediate vesting for both founders |
Illustrative Example:
| Period | Shares Vested (per founder) | Percentage of 50% |
|---|---|---|
| Month 0–11 | 0% (Cliff period) | 0% |
| Month 12 | 12.5% (25% of 50%) | 25% |
| Month 24 | 25% (50% of 50%) | 50% |
| Month 36 | 37.5% (75% of 50%) | 75% |
| Month 48 | 50% (100% of 50%) | 100% |
K. Decision Making and Dispute Resolution
| Decision Type | Who Decides | Examples |
|---|---|---|
| Routine Operational | Each founder independently | Purchasing dev tools, paying recurring bills (up to $1,000) |
| Material Decision | Both founders jointly | Expenditure above $1,000, hiring, B2B partnerships, pricing changes |
| Strategic | Both founders jointly | Fundraising, selling the company, entering a new market, changing the business model |
Deadlock Resolution Mechanism:
Step 1: Discussion between founders (up to 14 days)
|
v (if no agreement reached)
Step 2: Mediation -- referral to an agreed-upon external professional (up to 30 days)
|
v (if mediation fails)
Step 3: Binding arbitration -- arbitrator predetermined in the agreement
L. Exit Provisions
If a founder leaves the company:
| Condition | Details |
|---|---|
| IP and Data | Remain with the company — no exceptions |
| Vested Shares | The departing founder retains vested shares (per vesting schedule) |
| Unvested Shares | Revert to the company |
| Right of First Refusal | The remaining founder has ROFR to purchase the departing founder's shares |
| Valuation | Share price determined by an independent external appraiser |
| Non-Compete Period | 12 months — no directly competing product |
| Confidentiality | Ongoing confidentiality obligation without time limit |
Scenario: Dorit Leaves
| Detail | What Happens |
|---|---|
| Methodology codified in AI | Remains with the company (company IP) |
| Book "Shhhh..." | Returns to Dorit (her personal brand) |
| Methodology license | Rotem needs alternative methodology or re-acquire license |
| Vested shares | Dorit retains them |
| Owner's Loan | Continues to be repaid per loan terms |
Scenario: Rotem Leaves
| Detail | What Happens |
|---|---|
| Source code | Remains with the company (company IP) |
| Architecture and AI models | Remain with the company |
| CTO replacement | Dorit will need to recruit a replacement CTO |
| Vested shares | Rotem retains them |
M. Dissolution
| Priority Order | Details |
|---|---|
| 1. External Debts | Payment of all obligations to third parties |
| 2. Owner's Loan Repayment | $100,000 to Dorit (full priority) |
| 3. Remaining Assets | Distribution by ownership percentage: 50/50 |
| 4. Methodology License | Reverts to Dorit in full |
| 5. Source Code | Both founders may use relevant portions (per agreement) |
N. Special Conditions
| Condition | Details |
|---|---|
| Anti-Dilution | No external fundraising without consent of both founders |
| Share Sale Restriction | No share sale to a third party without first offering to the other founder (ROFR) |
| Insurance | D&O insurance when revenue justifies |
| Incorporation | Company incorporation in Israel before capital transfer |
| Bank Account | Bank account in the company's name only |
| Accounting | External CPA from day one |
| Agreement Updates | May be updated with written consent of both parties |
2.9 Agreement Summary — Consolidated Table
| Clause | Terms |
|---|---|
| Ownership | 50% Rotem / 50% Dorit |
| Investment | $100,000 Owner's Loan from Dorit |
| Interest on Loan | 0% |
| Repayment Priority | Loan > Operations > Founder Salaries > Dividends |
| Target Repayment | 18–24 months |
| Collateral | Lien on company assets + IP |
| Founder Salaries (Year 1) | $0 for both |
| Revenue Share | 50% consultant / 50% company |
| Vesting | 4 years, 1-year Cliff |
| IP Ownership | The company (except Dorit's personal brand) |
| Methodology License | Exclusive to the company; reverts to Dorit upon dissolution |
| Data Ownership | 100% the company |
| Code Ownership | 100% the company |
| Operational Decisions | Up to $1,000: independent; above $1,000: joint |
| Deadlock | Discussion > Mediation > Binding Arbitration |
| Founder Departure | IP stays with the company; ROFR on shares; vested shares retained |
| Dissolution | Loan first > remainder 50/50; methodology reverts to Dorit |
| Reporting | Monthly (financial) + Quarterly (strategic) |
| Governance | Expenditure above $1,000 requires joint approval |
| External Capital | Only with consent of both founders |
2.10 Why This Structure Is Fair — For Both Parties
From Dorit's Perspective
| Question | Answer |
|---|---|
| What protects my money? | Full repayment priority, asset lien, monthly reporting, expenditure governance |
| What if the project fails? | Max loss $100K; IP assets worth $55K–$120K; methodology reverts to me |
| What if Rotem leaves? | IP stays with the company; I hold 50%; I recruit a replacement CTO |
| What is my upside? | 50% of every customer (from day 1) + 50% company ownership + loan repayment |
| Who is in control? | Equal control — no material decision without my consent |
From Rotem's Perspective
| Question | Answer |
|---|---|
| Why 50% and not more? | Dorit brings methodology, audience, brand, and $100K. Fair value |
| What if Dorit leaves? | IP codified in AI stays; I need alternative methodology |
| When do I start earning? | Full salary when company proves capacity (2x salary, 3 months) |
| Who controls technology? | I do — full CTO, my technology decisions |
| What protects me? | Vesting, ROFR, IP belongs to company, non-compete |
Why 50/50 and Not a Different Split?
| Argument | Explanation |
|---|---|
| Rotem brings the technology | Full development of an agentic AI platform — market value $100K–$200K+ |
| Dorit brings the capital | $100K — the money that enables the company to launch |
| Dorit brings the methodology | Years of clinical experience, book, proven method — irreplaceable |
| Dorit brings the audience | Customers from day 1 — the most expensive thing in a startup |
| Both dedicate significant time | 15–25 hours/week each in Year 1 |
| Both are essential | No product without technology; no product without methodology |
2.11 Execution Timeline
March 2026 — Step 1
Sign founders agreement (legal, with attorney) — Both founders
March 2026 — Step 2
Incorporate Ltd. company in Israel — Rotem + CPA
March 2026 — Step 3
Open bank account in company name — Both founders
April 2026 — Step 4
Transfer Owner's Loan ($100K) to company account — Dorit
April 2026 — Step 5
Begin MVP development — Rotem
June–July 2026 — Step 6
MVP ready; beta launch — Both founders
Aug–Sep 2026 — Step 7
First paying customers — Dorit (referrals) + Marketing
December 2026 — Step 8
Year 1 summary; annual financial report; Year 2 planning — Both founders
3. Product and Technology
Numi's Multi-Agent AI Architecture and Product Layers
3.1 Product Overview
Numi is a digital sleep consultant powered by artificial intelligence, operating via WhatsApp and a web interface. Unlike existing sleep apps on the market that provide generic tips or passive tracking, Numi is an autonomous agent — a system that doesn't just answer questions, but initiates action, monitors in real time, reminds, accompanies, and predicts.
Professional Foundation
All of Numi's knowledge is built on Dorit Kreizer's methodology from her book "Shhhh... At Night We Sleep" and her cumulative coaching experience — not from generic internet sources, but from a specific, proven method.
Core Technology: RAG
Numi is built on a RAG (Retrieval Augmented Generation) architecture — the AI retrieves the most relevant information from Dorit's knowledge base and constructs a personalized response. Like asking Dorit herself — except she's available 24/7.
Current Status: Active POC
A proof of concept is already operational on Google ADK and Gemini 2.0 Flash infrastructure, demonstrating professional, personalized conversations with parents.
The Fundamental Difference: AGENTIC vs. REACTIVE
This is the critical difference between Numi and every competitor on the market, including Huckleberry:
| Feature | Competitors (REACTIVE) | Numi (AGENTIC) |
|---|---|---|
| When it operates | Only when the parent asks a question | Initiates contact on its own, even when the parent doesn't reach out |
| Type of assistance | Answer to a single question | Continuous accompaniment — reminders, encouragement, alerts |
| Process management | The parent manages the process themselves | Numi manages the sleep training process |
| Problem detection | Responds to the parent's report | Identifies patterns and alerts before a problem occurs |
| Timer/Clock | None | Manages "Dorit's Clock" in real time |
| Cross-analysis | Analyzes sleep in isolation | Connects nutrition, sleep, development, and siblings |
3.2 Multi-Agent System Architecture
Why Multi-Agent? The Core Idea
"Regular" artificial intelligence — like ChatGPT or a chat bot — is a single system trying to do everything. That works for general questions, but when you need to manage a complex process like baby sleep training — with dozens of variables changing every day — a single system is insufficient.
Numi's solution is a multi-agent architecture: instead of one bot trying to know everything, there are four specialist agents, each with a clear role, working together and sharing information among themselves. Like a medical team where each specialist brings their expertise — but they all communicate and coordinate care.
Numi's Four Agents
+------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Numi Brain |
| (Central coordination between agents) |
| |
| +--------------+ +--------------+ +--------------+ |
| | Sleep Agent | | Nutrition | | Siblings | |
| | | | Agent | | Agent | |
| | | | | | | |
| | "Dorit's | | Correlation | | Schedule | |
| | Clock" | | between food | | coordination | |
| | Timer mgmt | | and sleep | | between | |
| | Real-time | | Pattern | | children | |
| | training | | detection | | Preventing | |
| | | | Nutritional | | "meltdowns" | |
| | | | guidance | | | |
| +--------------+ +--------------+ +--------------+ |
| | |
| +-----------------------+ |
| | Long-Term Memory | |
| | | |
| | Tracking over years | |
| | Predicting regressions| |
| | Cross-child learning | |
| | Family profile | |
| +-----------------------+ |
+------------------------------------------------------------------+
| | |
+----------+ +-----------+ +------------+
| WhatsApp | | Web | | Social |
| Business | | Dashboard | | (FB/IG) |
| API | | | | |
+----------+ +-----------+ +------------+
Agent 1: Sleep Agent — "Dorit's Clock"
Role: Managing the sleep training process in real time, including managing Dorit's unique delay timer.
What is "Dorit's Clock"? In Dorit Kreizer's methodology, sleep training involves a process of graduated delays — the parent waits a defined period before entering the baby's room. The times increase gradually: 3 minutes, 5 minutes, 8 minutes, and so on. Most parents struggle to manage this on their own at 2:00 AM.
What the agent does:
- Manages the timer in real time via WhatsApp — "3 minutes have passed. Don't go in yet. You're doing great. 2 more minutes."
- Adjusts delays based on baby's age, history, and specific night in the process
- Provides real-time encouragement — "It's normal that he's crying. You're on night two."
- Identifies unusual situations — abnormal crying, fever, vomiting — and recommends checking
- Documents every night — time to fall asleep, wake-ups, crying durations
Why this matters: No competitor does this. No other app manages a real-time timer and accompanies the parent at the most difficult moment. This is the guidance that until now only a human sleep consultant could provide — and it costs $500–$1,500.
Agent 2: Nutrition Agent — Correlation Between Food and Sleep
Role: Analyzing causal connections between what the baby eats and when, and the quality of their sleep.
Why a separate agent? Many parents are unaware that nutrition directly affects sleep. A baby who ate too large a meal close to bedtime may wake from reflux. A baby who didn't eat enough will wake from hunger. The relationship is complex and changes with age.
What the agent does:
- Receives feeding/nursing information through simple WhatsApp reports
- Correlates eating data with sleep data — analyzes patterns over weeks
- Identifies and reports correlations: "On days when he eats dinner before 6 PM, sleep is 40% better"
- Coordinates with the sleep agent — if the baby ate little, the sleep agent expects a hunger wake-up
- Guides through weaning processes — nighttime nursing weaning, transition to solids
The value: No human sleep consultant, no matter how good, can analyze hundreds of data points and find statistical correlations between nutrition and sleep. This agent gives Numi an advantage that simply does not exist in human consulting.
Agent 3: Siblings Agent — The Problem No Competitor Solves
Role: Coordinating sleep and nap schedules between two or more children in the same household.
Why is this the hardest problem? Parents of a baby + a toddler face exponential complexity. Example: the 6-month-old needs a nap at 3:00 PM. The 3-year-old returns from daycare at 3:15 PM. If the baby doesn't fall asleep before the older sibling arrives — noise and disruption cause a "meltdown" that ruins both children's sleep.
What the agent does:
- Manages a unified schedule for all children — sleep times, naps, meals, daycare
- Identifies conflicts before they happen: "The nap at 3 PM overlaps with the older one's return. Move to 2:30 PM."
- Coordinates developmental transitions — when a baby goes from 3 naps to 2
- Manages complex nights — considers noise impact on siblings
- Prevents family "meltdowns" — precise timing for all variables
Agent 4: Long-Term Memory — The Agent That Remembers Everything
Role: Maintaining a complete history of every child over years, identifying developmental regressions before they occur, and learning across children.
What the agent does:
- Accumulates knowledge over time — months and years of data, not just a week
- Identifies regressions before they occur: "4 months old. A sleep regression is expected in 2–3 weeks."
- Identifies developmental transitions — from 2 naps to 1, crib to toddler bed, diaper weaning
- Cross-child learning: "With the older sibling, method X worked at 4 months. Let's try that here too."
- Builds a family profile — learns the family's sleep DNA and improves with each child
How the Agents Work Together — A Real-Life Scenario
21:30 — Bedtime
Sleep Agent "Time to start the bedtime routine. Today was a long day — let's start 15 minutes early."
21:32
Nutrition Agent "The last meal was at 7:00 PM, 180 ml. Sufficient — no hunger wake-up expected."
21:33
Siblings Agent "The older one is already asleep. His door is closed. You can proceed with the plan."
21:45
Sleep Agent Parent reports: "I put him down, he's crying." — "Great that you put him down awake. Night three — 5-minute delay. Starting countdown."
21:50
Sleep Agent "5 minutes have passed. He's still crying — but notice the intensity has decreased. Go in for 30 seconds, place your hand, and leave."
21:55
Sleep Agent Parent: "He fell asleep!" — "Amazing. Night 3, fell asleep in 10 minutes. 60% improvement from night 1. See you tomorrow."
22:00
Long-Term Memory Records: time to fall asleep, number of delays, crying intensity, and the night's success. This information will be part of the child's history — for years to come.
3.3 Product Evolution: From "Emergency" to "Lifelong Accompaniment"
Redefining the annual subscription: not "sleep training" but developmental information management. The parent isn't paying to "fix a problem" — they're paying for a system that knows their child over years and guides them at every stage.
Stage 1: Numi Rescue — "Emergency Week" (Week 1)
The parent arrives because the baby isn't sleeping. It's urgent.
| Day | Action |
|---|---|
| Day 0 — Intake | Comprehensive questionnaire: age, weight, health, sleep history, eating habits, family structure. Complete profile. |
| Day 1 — Plan | Based on Dorit's methodology and intake data: personalized sleep plan, schedule, training method, delay times. |
| Night 1–3 | "Dorit's Clock" active. Numi manages timers, sends encouragement, documents every wake-up, guides minute-by-minute. |
| Day 4–7 | Transition from accompaniment to monitoring: checking habits establish, identifying issues, targeted encouragement. |
Success metric: 80%+ of parents see significant improvement within 5–7 nights.
Stage 2: Numi Growth — Ongoing Guidance (Months 1–24)
After the emergency week, Numi transitions to "observation" mode — watches, learns, intervenes only when needed.
- Detects nap transitions (2 naps to 1) based on patterns
- Detects regression signs and prepares parents
- Suggests schedule adjustments before chaos begins
- Weekly reports: "6 nights continuous sleep, one wake-up. Improving."
Value: Prevents problems before they occur. This justifies the annual subscription.
Stage 3: Numi Siblings — Multi-Child Complexity
A second child is born. Suddenly, everything that worked needs updating.
- Synchronizes newborn's schedule with existing toddler's
- Prevents family "meltdowns" with precise timing
- Coordinates nighttime sleep across siblings
- Tailored plan for each child's age and needs
Why premium: No competitor solves this. This is Numi's flagship differentiator for the long term.
Stage 4: Family Memory — Across Years and Children
The system accumulates knowledge about the family over years and uses it to improve.
- Preserves all data from the first child
- Uses previous child data to improve recommendations for the next
- Builds a "family sleep profile" — genetic sensitivities, method preferences
- Anonymous cross-family learning from thousands of families
The real value: The longer they use it, the greater the value. The accumulated data and learning are irreplaceable. This is a retention moat — the harder it is to leave.
3.4 Three Business Product Layers
Beyond the technical architecture, Numi is organized into three business layers that create a complete revenue engine:
Super Numi — Lead Engine
An AI chat on the consultant's website. At 2:00 AM, "Why won't he sleep?" gets an instant answer using Dorit's method. Simple problems solved directly. Complex cases get booked with Dorit automatically.
Value: Converts cold traffic into warm, paying leads — 24/7, while the consultant sleeps.
Digital Numi — After-Care Guide
Every paying client gets a "Digital Numi" companion. Accompanies them through the first 3 nights, sends reminders ("Put him down awake"), encourages, answers follow-up questions.
Value: Increases success rates, reduces support time, justifies premium packages.
Omnichannel Agent — The Brain
Connected to Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp. Has read Dorit's book, knows her tone. Answers questions about teething, naps, pacifiers automatically across all channels.
Value: Saves hours of manual responses, ensures every parent gets the right answer immediately.
3.5 Tech Stack
| Layer | Technology | Why We Chose It |
|---|---|---|
| Agent Orchestration | Google ADK (Agent Development Kit) | Leading platform for multi-agent systems; built-in agent coordination, memory management, tool invocation |
| Artificial Intelligence | Gemini 2.0 Flash | Fast, cost-efficient, accurate; response time under 2 seconds; low cost enabling scale |
| Knowledge Base (RAG) | Gemini Embeddings + Vector DB | Dorit's book, method, and case files encoded as embeddings for fast semantic search |
| Primary Channel | WhatsApp Business API | Where parents already are; no new app download needed; 98% open rates |
| Visual Interface | Web Dashboard (Next.js) | Dashboard for data, charts, and progress tracking |
| Social Channels | Facebook Messenger API, Instagram API | Connection to Product 3 (the omnichannel agent) |
| Cloud Infrastructure | Google Cloud Platform | Reliable, scalable, integrated with Google ADK |
| Security | AES-256 encryption, TLS 1.3, HIPAA-ready | Full protection of sensitive baby and family data |
Existing POC
The proof of concept is currently operational and demonstrates:
3.6 Why This Architecture Changes Everything
Five reasons why Numi's multi-agent architecture is a competitive advantage that is extremely difficult to replicate:
1. Specialization = Higher Quality
Each agent is an expert in its domain. The sleep agent doesn't need to "know" nutrition — it receives information from the nutrition agent. Like a doctor referring to a specialist.
In practice: Huckleberry uses a general AI that tries to cover everything. Numi uses 4 focused agents. The difference in answer quality is significant.
2. Inter-Agent Information Sharing = Unique Insights
Nutrition affects sleep. Sleep affects development. Development affects siblings. Numi's agents share information in real time, generating insights impossible from isolated apps.
In practice: No competitor automatically links eating data with sleep data.
3. Long-Term Memory = Value That Grows (Retention Moat)
The longer time passes, the more Numi knows about the child. This information becomes irreplaceable. Switching loses all history.
In practice: Expected churn rate: less than 5%/month, vs. industry average of 8–12%.
4. Siblings Logic = Absolute Exclusivity
No competitor offers sleep coordination between siblings. Adding this requires rebuilding from the ground up.
In practice: 60% of families with sleep problems have more than one child. Massive unserved market.
5. Proactive vs. Reactive = Happier Parents
Numi acts before a problem occurs. Instead of waiting for the parent to report "he's not sleeping," Numi sends a message: "Regression expected in two weeks. Here's what to do." A parent who receives an alert before a problem is much happier than a parent who has to ask for help after the situation has deteriorated.
3.7 Summary: Why Numi Is Different From Everything on the Market
| Criterion | Competitors | Numi |
|---|---|---|
| Architecture | Single chatbot or rule-based system | 4 specialized agents + central coordination |
| AI Type | Reactive — answers questions | Agentic — initiates, monitors, alerts, manages |
| Knowledge Base | Generic / based on general research | Specific, proven methodology (Dorit Kreizer) |
| Process Management | The parent manages | Numi manages (including real-time timers) |
| Sibling Coordination | Does not exist | Dedicated agent for multi-child management |
| Memory | Resets each session / short period | Memory spanning years + cross-child learning |
| Channels | App only | WhatsApp + Web + Facebook + Instagram |
| Value Over Time | Decreasing (after problem is solved) | Increasing (more data = better recommendations) |
4. Industry & Market Analysis
4.1 Industry Overview
The baby sleep consulting market sits at the intersection of digital health and AI-driven consumer applications. Parents are increasingly turning to technology for solutions previously available only through expensive consultations or generic books.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Baby Sleep Apps Market (2024) | $420M |
| Baby Sleep Apps Market (2033) | $1.25B |
| CAGR (2024–2033) | 12–13% |
| Broader Sleep Products (2023) | $6.5B |
| Broader Sleep Products (2032) | $10.2B |
Baby Sleep Apps Market Growth
Key Industry Players: Huckleberry (VC-backed, AI + expert hybrid), Smart Sleep Coach by Pampers (P&G), Nanit ($70M+), Cradlewise ($27M+), Taking Cara Babies (bootstrapped).
The market is fragmented with no dominant player. Most solutions fall into: tracking apps, expensive hardware, one-time courses, or traditional consulting. None offer a fully autonomous Agentic AI experience in Hebrew.
4.2 Market Strategy: Israel → UK → US
Numi adopts a staged entry strategy starting in the domestic market, reducing risk and leveraging unique competitive advantages at each stage.
Year 1: Israel
182K births/year
Hebrew (exclusive)
0 AI competitors
WhatsApp 98% penetration
Dorit's established brand
Goal: 100-500 customers
Year 2: UK
653K births/year
English expansion
CPM 47% lower than US
NHS service gap
Proven product + revenue
Goal: 400-2,000 customers
Year 3: US
4.2M births/year
Massive market
VC-backed expansion
2 years of refinement
Clinical data + success stories
Goal: 1,200-6,000 customers
Why Israel First
| Advantage | Details |
|---|---|
| Zero AI competitors in Hebrew | No direct competitor offers Agentic AI sleep consulting in Hebrew. Market completely open |
| Dorit Kreizer's brand | Book sold via Kinneret Zmora publisher, Steimatzky bookstores, largest baby retail chain. Immediate credibility |
| WhatsApp as primary channel | 98% penetration—parents already use it 24/7. No app download friction |
| Tech-savvy parents | "Startup Nation" with 91% smartphone penetration, early AI adoption |
| Highest fertility in OECD | 2.9 children/family = recurring demand across multiple children |
| Small market = rapid dominance | 182K births allows establishing dominance before global expansion |
4.3 TAM / SAM / SOM
Israel: $40M, UK: $157M, US: $1.51B (births × sleep problem % × avg spend)
Reachable at each stage: Y1 Israel $12M, Y2 +UK $51M, Y3 +US $353M
Conservative: 1,200 customers × $600 ARPU. Optimistic: 6,000 × $600
| Market | Births/Year | Sleep Problems % | Avg Spend | TAM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | 182,000 | 37% | $600 | $40M |
| UK | 653,000 | 40% | $600 | $157M |
| US | 4,200,000 | 60% | $600 | $1.51B |
| Total | 5.04M | — | — | $1.71B |
4.4 Market Trends & Demand Drivers
1. Digital Health Adoption
Telehealth surged post-COVID. Israel's digital health market projected to reach $651M by 2029 (9.22% CAGR). Parents expect 24/7 mobile access to healthcare guidance.
2. AI Acceptance Rising
77% of consumers open to AI health guidance (Accenture 2024). Agentic AI—where AI takes autonomous action—is the next wave. Numi leads this shift.
3. Parental Mental Health
72% of Israeli mothers suffer poor sleep quality. Postpartum depression affects 1 in 7 globally. Sleep deprivation is a primary contributor. Employers and health funds investing in solutions.
4. High Search Demand
"How to get baby to sleep": 1.2M monthly global searches. Hebrew searches substantial (data being gathered). High-intent parents actively seeking solutions.
5. Agentic AI Mainstream
2025-2026 marks the inflection point. Major tech companies shipping AI agents. Parents expect AI that acts: adjusts plans, sends reminders, coaches in real time.
4.5 Israeli Market Advantages—In Depth
| # | Advantage | Data/Explanation |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zero AI competitors in Hebrew | All 12 analyzed competitors are English-only. Numi has no direct competition |
| 2 | WhatsApp infrastructure | 98% adult penetration (ISOC-IL 2024). Parents already live on WhatsApp. No app download friction |
| 3 | Dorit's established brand | Published by Kinneret Zmora, sold at Steimatzky, 18 years midwife/psychotherapist, Tel Aviv University lecturer |
| 4 | Small market = rapid dominance | 182K births/year vs 4.2M in US. Can establish presence quickly before global players notice |
| 5 | Early tech adopters | "Startup Nation": 91% smartphone penetration, high openness to AI solutions |
| 6 | Highest fertility in OECD | 2.9 children/woman. Every family is potential multi-child customer (first, second, third baby) |
| 7 | Dense word-of-mouth | WhatsApp groups, Facebook parenting communities, forums—recommendations spread rapidly |
4.6 Unmet Needs in Israeli Market
| Need | Current State | Numi's Solution |
|---|---|---|
| Expert sleep consulting 24/7 in Hebrew | Does not exist. Consultants work business hours | AI agent available anytime via WhatsApp |
| Ongoing support at reasonable cost | ILS 1,400-3,000 one-time, limited follow-up | Annual subscription ILS 1,500-3,000 with 365 days support |
| Personalization for specific baby | Generic Facebook advice, books | AI learns each baby's patterns, adapts in real time |
| Sibling sleep coordination | No structured solution | AI coordinates sibling schedules (critical for 2.9 children/family) |
| Immediate crisis response | Message consultant (reply morning) or Google at 2 AM | Response in seconds, any hour, based on methodology |
4.7 Market Forecasts
| Year | Market Size (Global Apps) | Growth | Key Drivers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $420M | — | Baseline |
| 2025 | $470M | +12% | AI adoption, insurance pilots |
| 2026 | $525M | +12% | Telemedicine integration, clinical studies |
| 2027 | $590M | +12% | Global expansion, insurance coverage |
| 2028 | $660M | +12% | Agentic AI mainstream, B2B partnerships |
| 2033 | $1.25B | +12% CAGR | Market maturity, category leaders |
5. Competitive Analysis
5.1 Competitive Landscape Overview
We analyzed 12 competitors across 5 categories. The analysis reveals a fragmented market with no player providing a fully agentic AI experience. In the Israeli market (Numi's Year 1 target), there is currently no direct competitor offering AI-based sleep consulting in Hebrew.
5.2 Critical Update: Huckleberry's Berry (Feb 5, 2026)
Most Important Competitive Development in 2026: Huckleberry launched Berry—a context-aware AI chat designed to reduce mental load for parents. This is the most significant competitive shift in the market.
What Is Berry?
Berry is a conversational AI assistant available 24/7 as part of Huckleberry Premium. Provides guidance on childcare, sleep, feeding, behavior, development.
| Feature | Details |
|---|---|
| Data repository | 5 billion data points across Huckleberry platform |
| AI approach | Bridging "Context Gap"—combining logged child data with pediatric expertise |
| Expert team | Amber LoRe (Director of Pediatric Expertise) + sleep/lactation/OT experts |
| Privacy | Does not use personal data to train public models |
| Pricing | $14.99/month or $119.99/year |
Berry's Weaknesses—Numi's Advantages
| Factor | Berry (Huckleberry) | Numi |
|---|---|---|
| AI Type | Reactive (Q&A chatbot) | Agentic (autonomous, proactive) |
| Hebrew Support | English only | Native Hebrew from ground up |
| WhatsApp Integration | App only | Native WhatsApp (98% penetration) |
| Methodology | Multi-expert, generic | Dorit's method, specific & proven |
| Sibling Logic | No coordination | Yes (2.9 children/family Israel) |
| Long-term Memory | No cross-child memory | Longitudinal AI across years/children |
| Pricing Model | Monthly (high churn) | Annual (high commitment) |
The Core Difference: Berry answers questions. Numi manages the sleep training process. Example: Berry waits for parent to ask "Why waking at 3 AM?" Numi sends proactive message at 7 PM: "Based on today's feeding, move bedtime 15 min earlier to prevent the 3 AM waking."
5.3 Direct Competitors—AI Apps
Smart Sleep Coach by Pampers
AppPricing: Free + $7.99/mo or $59.99/yr | Backing: P&G | AI: Schedule optimization
Strengths: Massive brand, global distribution, P&G resources
Weaknesses: Schedule-based only (not conversational/agentic), slow corporate iteration, no Hebrew/WhatsApp
Huckleberry (including Berry)
AppPricing: Free + $14.99/mo or $119.99/yr | Backing: VC-backed | AI: Berry (reactive) + expert hybrid
Strengths: Market leader, 4.7/5 reviews (50K+), 5B data points, expert team
Weaknesses: Berry still reactive (not agentic), English only, no WhatsApp, no sibling logic
Baby Needs to Sleep AI
AppPricing: $4.99/mo or $29.99/yr | Backing: Small team
Strengths: Low price, clear AI positioning | Weaknesses: Limited resources, small base, no unique methodology, no Hebrew
Baby SleepBot AI
AppPricing: ~$30-50 | Market: Australia
Strengths: Proven consultant methodology (similar to Numi approach) | Weaknesses: Limited to Australia, single consultant dependency
Other AI Apps: Lizzy Sleep (24/7 chat, unclear methodology), Baby Snooze (tracker + AI coaching, mobile-only)
5.4 Indirect Competitors
Cradlewise & Nanit
Cradlewise: $1,999 crib + $99/yr, $27M+ Series B. AI bounce, sleep tracking.
Nanit: $299-399 camera + $149/yr, $70M+ funding. Computer vision tracking, breathing monitoring. HQ in Tel Aviv + NYC.
Implication: Hardware validates demand but serves monitoring, not coaching. Numi complements them, can integrate via API.
Taking Cara Babies
Pricing: $79-179 per course (one-time) | Est Revenue: $10M+ annually
Strengths: Massive brand, neonatal nurse, proven content
Weaknesses: One-time purchase, no personalization, no AI, no 2 AM help
Implication: Represents "old model" Numi disrupts. Success validates demand for expert guidance.
SleepNest
Pricing: $197-397 (for consultants) | Market: Pediatric sleep consultants
Strengths: Clear B2B positioning, professional analytics
Implication: Validates B2B opportunity. Numi's Product 3 (Omnichannel Agent) goes further—handles communication, lead gen, after-care.
Baby Connect & Others
Pricing: Free + $4.99 | Features: Manual tracking (feeding, sleep, diapers)
Weaknesses: Minimal AI, tracking only (no coaching), no sleep methodology
Implication: Shows demand for tracking but not competitive in coaching space.
Non-Tech Alternatives
| Alternative | Cost | Limitations |
|---|---|---|
| Facebook parenting groups | Free | Unvetted advice, conflicting info, no personalization |
| Reddit communities | Free | Anonymous, inconsistent quality, no accountability |
| Baby sleep books | ILS 50-120 | Static, not interactive, no 2 AM help |
| Private sleep consultants (Israel) | ILS 1,500-3,000 | Expensive, limited availability, not scalable |
| Pediatrician advice | Free (with visit) | General, limited time, not sleep specialist |
5.5 Israeli Market Analysis
| Characteristic | Data | Implication for Numi |
|---|---|---|
| Fertility rate | 2.9 children/family (2x OECD avg) | Higher demand per family; sibling logic critical |
| Annual births | ~182,000 | Structurally self-renewing market |
| WhatsApp usage | 98% of population | Natural reach channel |
| Smartphone penetration | 91% | Tech infrastructure ready |
| Active sleep consultants | Hundreds (no uniform regulation) | Unregulated market; parents seek alternatives |
| Sleep consulting cost | ILS 1,500-3,000 per package | Numi offers comparable annual support at same price |
| Health fund reimbursement | Up to 75% (up to 6mo postpartum) | Partnership opportunity with health funds |
| AI competitor in Hebrew | None | Numi will be first |
Israeli Private Consultants vs Numi
| Feature | Private Consultants | Numi |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ILS 1,500-3,000 per package | ILS 1,500-3,000/year |
| Availability | Business hours + phone | 24/7 |
| Response time | Hours to days | Seconds |
| Methodology | Varies between consultants | Dorit's method—uniform & proven |
| Ongoing guidance | Limited (2-4 calls) | Continuous throughout process |
| Manual, not always available | Automatic, 24/7 | |
| Scalability | Limited to one consultant | Unlimited |
5.6 SWOT Analysis (Israel Market)
Strengths
- Agentic AI—autonomous with no human bottleneck
- Native Hebrew (not translation, built from ground up)
- WhatsApp integration (98% usage)
- Dorit Kreizer's proven methodology
- Competitive pricing (70-85% savings vs consultant)
- 3-product system (Lead gen + After-care + Omnichannel)
- 24/7 availability, response in seconds
- Sibling logic (2.9 children/family)
Weaknesses
- Early stage, no traction yet
- No clinical research (planned Year 1)
- Small team vs well-funded competitors
- Brand awareness = zero
- Dependence on single methodology
- AI hallucination risk (mitigated with guardrails)
- Higher price than global apps (justified by Hebrew/WhatsApp/proactivity)
Opportunities
- Israeli market with no AI competitor
- Partnership with health funds (kupot cholim)—75% reimbursement
- Sleep consultant market as B2B channel (hundreds in Israel)
- Global expansion after Israel success ($250M+ SAM)
- Integration with Nanit (HQ in Tel Aviv, $70M+ funding)
- Complementary services (nap training, regressions, sibling sleep)
- Employee wellness programs (tech companies seeking parenting benefits)
- Agentic AI going mainstream—consumer acceptance rising
Threats
- Huckleberry adds Hebrew (low probability—small market for them)
- Berry becomes agentic (requires architecture change)
- Regulatory uncertainty (mitigated: advisory service, non-medical)
- Privacy concerns (GDPR/HIPAA compliance, full transparency)
- New Israeli competitors (first-mover advantage + Dorit partnership = moat)
- Apple/Google native solution (unlikely in Hebrew)
- Cultural resistance to AI (position as "Digital Dorit")
- Economic downturn (baby sleep = critical pain; parents pay even in tough times)
5.7 Five Market Gaps Numi Fills
| Gap | Current State | Numi's Solution |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Omnichannel AI in Hebrew | No competitor operates AI agent on WhatsApp/Instagram/Facebook in Hebrew | Product 3 connects all channels from single AI brain |
| 2. Proactive agentic capability | All competitors (including Berry) are reactive—wait for question | Numi operates autonomously: monitors, detects, acts, guides |
| 3. B2B for sleep consultants | SleepNest offers analytics; no one offers autonomous agent | Products 1 & 2 serve consultants—lead gen & after-care management |
| 4. Sibling logic | No competitor coordinates sleep between siblings | Coordination algorithm considers entire family schedule |
| 5. Longitudinal memory | Competitors provide point-in-time recommendations | Numi tracks across full 0-24mo+ journey, across children in same family |
5.8 Competitive Summary
The baby sleep consulting market is transforming. Huckleberry's Berry confirms the industry is moving toward conversational AI—but Berry is an answer to a question, not an agent that manages a process.
Numi enters with three core competitive advantages that are difficult to replicate:
- Agentic architecture from ground up—not an upgraded chatbot, but an agent designed for autonomous operation
- Native Hebrew + WhatsApp—a competitive moat in the Israeli market that global competitors won't invest in
- Partnership with Dorit Kreizer—a proven methodology providing immediate credibility and clinical depth
In the Israeli market, Numi will have no direct competitor on launch day. In the global market, Numi competes on its agentic advantage—the difference between a tool that answers and an agent that leads.
6. Sales & Marketing Strategy
6.1 Overview
Numi's marketing strategy is built on one core principle: Leverage Dorit Kreizer's personal brand and existing community as the primary growth engine, supplemented by targeted paid marketing with a smart budget.
| Parameter | Traditional Approach | Numi's Approach |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 marketing budget | $100K-$150K | $60K ($5K/month) |
| Target market | US and English-speaking | Israel (Y1), UK (Y2), US (Y3) |
| Pricing model | Freemium (free + premium) | Annual subscription only, no free tier |
| Primary channel | Paid marketing | Organic through Dorit + supplementary paid |
| Revenue model | Direct B2C | 50/50 partnership with Dorit |
| Price range | $12.99/month | $400-$800/year (ILS 1,500-2,960) |
6.2 Year 1—Israeli Market
6.2.1 Dorit's Organic Channels (Cost: $0)
Numi's most significant marketing asset is Dorit Kreizer herself. Her organic channels generate high-quality exposure at zero marketing cost:
Social Media & Existing Clients
- Active Instagram/Facebook with parent community
- Existing client base and referrals
- Every satisfied client is natural Numi advocate
- Presented as continuation of personal consulting
Workshops & Events
- Regular parenting workshops
- Demonstrate Numi in action
- Baby Fair, health fund workshops, community centers
- Each event = opportunity to showcase product
Book Readers
- "Shhh... At Night We Sleep" published by Kinneret Zmora
- Sold at Steimatzky, Tzomet Sfarim, largest baby retail chain
- Every book buyer is warm lead
- Strategy: Add QR code in next edition linking to Numi
Israeli Parenting Communities
- Facebook groups: "Israeli Moms," "Parents Talk," "New Moms"
- WhatsApp neighborhood/daycare/birth prep groups
- Forums: Tapuz Parents, BabyCenter Israel
- Dorit (or recommendations about her) already present
Podcasts & Media
- "The Parents Of," "Immaleh," other parenting/health podcasts
- Each appearance = targeted audience exposure
- Dorit talks about Numi as natural part of professional story
Professional Network
- Lactation consultants, doulas, developmental therapists
- Mutual referrals
- Professional network increases exposure at no cost
| Organic Channel | Monthly Leads | Conversion Rate | Paying Customers/Month |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dorit's social media | 200-400 | 8-12% | 16-48 |
| Referrals from existing clients | 50-100 | 15-25% | 8-25 |
| Workshops and events | 30-60 | 10-20% | 3-12 |
| Parenting communities | 100-200 | 5-10% | 5-20 |
| Book readers | 50-150 | 8-15% | 4-23 |
| Podcasts and partnerships | 50-100 | 5-10% | 3-10 |
| Total Organic | 480-1,010 | 8-15% avg | 39-138 |
Organic channels alone can generate 39-138 paying customers per month at zero marketing cost. This is the foundation of the entire strategy.
6.2.2 Paid Marketing ($5,000/month = $60K/year)
| Channel | Monthly Budget | % of Budget | Objective |
|---|---|---|---|
| Facebook/Instagram ads | $2,500 | 50% | Targeted ads to Israeli parents, Reels/Stories campaigns |
| Israeli Facebook groups (paid) | $750 | 15% | Paid presence in large parenting groups |
| Google Ads (Hebrew keywords) | $1,250 | 25% | "Sleep consultant," "baby won't sleep," "baby sleep training" |
| Sponsored Instagram content | $500 | 10% | Reels/Stories demonstrating Numi in action |
| Total Monthly | $5,000 | 100% | — |
| Total Annual | $60,000 | — | — |
Facebook/Instagram Ads ($2,500/month)
- Target: Israeli parents of 0-24mo babies, age 25-40
- Formats: Stories ads (high CTR), sponsored Reels, carousel
- Key messages: "It's 02:00 AM. Baby crying. You have Dorit in your pocket"
- Expected CPM: $6-$10 (significantly lower than US $20+)
- Monthly exposure: 250,000-400,000
Google Ads—Hebrew ($1,250/month)
Key advantage: Competition for Hebrew keywords significantly lower than English. CPC 50-70% lower than US.
| Keyword (Hebrew) | Monthly Searches | Expected CPC |
|---|---|---|
| "Sleep consultant" | 2,000-4,000 | $0.50-$1.00 |
| "Baby won't sleep" | 3,000-6,000 | $0.30-$0.70 |
| "Baby sleep training" | 1,000-2,500 | $0.40-$0.80 |
| "Sleep regression" | 500-1,500 | $0.30-$0.60 |
6.2.3 Pricing Strategy (No Freemium)
| Package | Annual Price (USD) | Annual Price (ILS) | What's Included |
|---|---|---|---|
| Basic | $400/year | ~ILS 1,500 | AI chat based on Dorit's method, personalized sleep plan, sleep tracking, weekly reports |
| Pro | $750/year | ~ILS 2,775 | Everything in Basic + advanced 24/7 AI guidance, regression alerts, adaptive plans, WhatsApp support |
| Premium | $800/year | ~ILS 2,960 | Everything in Pro + one personal consultation call with Dorit, priority support, exclusive content |
Pricing Justification—Comparison
| Alternative | Cost | What You Get | Limitations |
|---|---|---|---|
| Private consulting (basic) | ILS 1,500-2,000 | 1-2 sessions + plan | Time-limited, no 24/7 |
| Private consulting (extended) | ILS 2,500-3,000 | 3-4 sessions + weekly guidance | Still time-limited, not at 2 AM |
| Recorded sleep course | ILS 200-500 | Static content | No interaction, no personalization |
| Numi Basic | ILS 1,500/year | 24/7 AI for full year | Full Dorit's method access |
| Numi Pro | ILS 2,775/year | Advanced + WhatsApp | Everything + regressions |
Core message: "For the price of one sleep consultation, you get a full year of 24/7 guidance from Dorit's method—available exactly when you need it, at 2 AM."
Why No Freemium Model
- High value justifies payment—exhausted parents willing to pay for real solution
- Predictable revenue—annual subscription upfront creates stable cash flow
- Customer quality—paying customers more committed and successful
- 50/50 model—partnership with Dorit requires clear revenue from each customer
- Small Israeli market—in 180,000 births/year market, paying customers preferable to free users
6.2.4 50/50 Partnership Model
Revenue Structure: Dorit refers clients → Client signs up for Numi → Revenue split 50/50
Example: Client pays $600/year (Pro) → $300 to Dorit, $300 to company
Incentive for Dorit: Passive income from every referred client—no additional work
Incentive for company: Dorit actively promotes Numi (serves her financial interest)
| Metric | Conservative | Base | Optimistic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paying customers (end Year 1) | 200 | 400 | 700 |
| Avg revenue/customer/year | $500 | $600 | $650 |
| Annual gross revenue | $100K | $240K | $455K |
| Company share (50%) | $50K | $120K | $228K |
| Dorit's share (50%) | $50K | $120K | $228K |
6.2.5 Customer Acquisition Funnel
6.3 Year 2—UK Expansion
6.3.1 Funding the Expansion
UK expansion funded from: (1) Profits from Israeli market Year 1 (base: $120K company share), (2) Remaining capital from initial loan/investment.
6.3.2 UK Budget Allocation
| Item | Annual Budget | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Paid advertising (Facebook/Instagram/Google UK) | $80K-$120K | Largest share of UK budget |
| Additional developer (part-time/freelance) | $30K-$50K | English localization + cultural adaptation + UK regulatory compliance |
| Increased cloud costs | $15K-$25K | Multi-region deployment, high traffic |
| British market consultant | $20K-$30K | Expert in British parenting culture, NHS guidelines, message adaptation |
| Total | $145K-$225K | — |
6.3.3 UK Market Pricing
| Package | Annual Price (GBP) | Comparison |
|---|---|---|
| Basic | GBP 300/year | UK consultant package: GBP 200-500 |
| Pro | GBP 450/year | — |
| Premium | GBP 600/year | — |
Same core message: "For the price of one consultation, get a full year of 24/7 AI-powered guidance."
6.3.4 UK Marketing Strategy
| Channel | Description | Budget % |
|---|---|---|
| Facebook/Instagram Ads (UK) | CPM ~$10.85 (47% lower than US $20.48). Targeted campaigns for British parents | 50% |
| Google Ads (UK) | Keywords: "baby sleep consultant UK," "sleep training," "baby won't sleep" | 20% |
| British parenting influencers | Collaborations with British bloggers/Instagrammers | 15% |
| Mumsnet & British forums | Largest UK parenting forum—organic and paid presence | 10% |
| NHS partnerships & NCT | NCT (National Childbirth Trust) groups, health visitors | 5% |
6.4 CAC & LTV Analysis
Israeli Market
| Metric | Value | Explanation |
|---|---|---|
| Organic CAC (through Dorit) | $0-$50 | Minimal marginal cost—existing network does the work |
| Paid CAC (ads) | $50-$150 | Depends on channel and seasonality |
| Blended CAC | $30-$80 | Weighted average (majority organic) |
| Gross LTV | $1,200 | $600/year avg × 2 years retention |
| Company LTV (after 50/50 split) | $600 | $300/year × 2 years |
| LTV:CAC ratio | 7.5x - 20x | Very healthy (benchmark: 3x+) |
| CAC payback period | 1-3 months | Annual upfront subscription ensures immediate payback |
LTV:CAC Ratio by Channel
| Channel | CAC | Company LTV | LTV:CAC | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Referrals from Dorit | $0-$20 | $600 | 30x+ | Excellent |
| Customer referrals (word of mouth) | $0-$10 | $600 | 60x+ | Excellent |
| Workshops and events | $30-$50 | $600 | 12-20x | Very strong |
| Facebook/Instagram Ads | $80-$120 | $600 | 5-7.5x | Good |
| Google Ads (Hebrew) | $60-$100 | $600 | 6-10x | Good |
| Facebook groups | $40-$80 | $600 | 7.5-15x | Very strong |
6.5 Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
| Metric | Definition | Year 1 Target | Year 2 Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cost per Lead (CPL) | Avg cost to acquire qualified lead | $5-$15 | $8-$20 (UK) |
| Cost per Acquisition (CPA) | Avg cost to acquire paying customer | $30-$80 | $50-$120 (UK) |
| Monthly Active Users (MAU) | Customers who used Numi in past month | 250-500 | 800-1,500 |
| Conversion Rate (Lead to Paid) | % of leads who became paying customers | 8-12% | 10-15% |
| Retention Rate | % of customers who renew annual subscription | — (first year) | 60-70% |
| Net Promoter Score (NPS) | Customer satisfaction & willingness to recommend | >50 | >60 |
| WhatsApp Engagement Rate | % of customers active in AI chat | >70% | >75% |
| Referrals per Customer | Avg referrals each customer generates | 0.5-1.0 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR) | Monthly revenue from subscriptions (company share) | $5K-$10K | $25K-$50K |
6.6 Sales & Marketing Strategy Summary
| Element | Year 1 (Israel) | Year 2 (Israel + UK) |
|---|---|---|
| Marketing budget | $60K ($5K/month) | $145K-$225K (including UK) |
| Primary channel | Organic through Dorit (60-70% of customers) | Organic in Israel + paid in UK |
| Secondary channel | Paid—FB/IG/Google (30-40%) | Expanding channels in both markets |
| Pricing model | Annual subscription: ILS 1,500-2,960 | Annual: GBP 300-600 (UK) |
| Revenue model | 50/50 with Dorit | 50/50 in Israel, TBD in UK |
| Blended CAC | $30-$80 | $50-$120 (UK) |
| Company LTV | $600 (after split) | $600-$900 |
| LTV:CAC ratio | 7.5-20x | 5-12x |
| Paying customers (year-end) | 200-400 | 800-1,500 |
| MRR (company share) | $5K-$10K | $25K-$50K |
The advantage of this approach: Instead of burning hundreds of thousands on paid marketing in a competitive US market, we leverage an existing asset (Dorit) in a market we know well (Israel), prove Product-Market Fit with minimal spend, and then expand to the UK with a proven model and existing revenue. This is true Lean Startup—not just in theory.
7. Management Team
7.1 Team Philosophy
Numi is built by two founders only — a deliberate choice that creates competitive advantages at the Pre-Seed stage: zero founder salary cost, rapid decision-making, total commitment, and absolute focus.
| Advantage | Explanation |
|---|---|
| Founder salary: $0 | Both founders draw zero salary in Year 1 |
| Rapid decisions | Two people = zero bureaucracy, direct communication, immediate execution |
| Total commitment | Both invest personal capital (money or time) — not just "employees" |
| Focus | No organizational politics, no "managing managers" — just building |
7.2 Founding Team
Rotem Levi — Co-Founder, CTO
| Current Role | Senior Software Engineer, Bigabid (AdTech, public company) |
| Ownership | 50% |
| Salary (Year 1) | $0 — earns living from Bigabid |
| Time Commitment | 15-20 hours/week (evenings, weekends, vacation days) |
Technical Expertise:
- Full-Stack Development (React, Node.js, Python)
- AI/ML and LLM Integration (Google ADK, Gemini)
- Cloud Architecture (GCP, Infrastructure-as-Code)
- Data Engineering & Real-Time Systems
- WhatsApp/Social API Integration
Responsibilities: Building complete AI Agent platform, RAG pipeline, WhatsApp/social integrations, technical infrastructure, AI quality control
Why Rotem is Critical: Without Rotem, there is no platform. Dorit's methodology remains a book, not a technology product.
Dorit Kreizer — Co-Founder, Chief Content Officer
| Current Role | Baby sleep consultant, author of "Shhhh... At Night We Sleep" |
| Ownership | 50% |
| Salary (Year 1) | $0 — Revenue Share model |
| Investment | $100,000 owner's loan to company |
Areas of Expertise:
- Infant sleep methodology (certified consultant)
- Clinical sleep consulting (hundreds of families)
- Content creation & training data development
- Client management & UX insight
- Marketing & brand (existing follower base)
- Business development & partnerships
Responsibilities: Proprietary methodology powering AI, training data creation, AI response validation, client relationships, organic marketing, B2B partnerships
Why Dorit is Critical: Without Dorit, Numi is a generic chatbot. Dorit's methodology is the irreplicable competitive moat.
7.3 Why This Team Works
Complementary Skills Matrix
| Domain | Rotem | Dorit |
|---|---|---|
| Technology & AI | LEADS | — |
| Sleep Methodology | — | LEADS |
| AI Agent Development | LEADS | Validates |
| Training Data Creation | Implements | CREATES |
| Client Relationships | — | LEADS |
| Marketing & Social | — | LEADS |
| Technical Infrastructure | LEADS | — |
| AI Response Quality | Implements | VALIDATES |
| B2B Partnerships | Supports | LEADS |
| Financial Management | SHARED | SHARED |
| Strategic Decisions | SHARED | SHARED |
Methodology without technology = consulting limited to one person (no scale)
Technology + methodology = AI platform with proprietary methodology (unique, scalable value)
7.4 Equity Structure & Governance
50/50 Ownership Rationale
| Contribution | Rotem (50%) | Dorit (50%) |
|---|---|---|
| What they bring | AI technology, platform development | Proprietary methodology, brand, clients |
| Monetary value | Work valued at $96K-$144K/year (at market rate) | $100K loan + methodology + client base |
| Without them | No platform, no technology product | No methodology, no content, no clients |
| Outcome alone | Generic chatbot (no value) | Limited consulting business (no scale) |
Corporate Governance
Decisions Requiring Joint Approval
- Expenditure >$1,000
- Any new contractual commitment
- Hiring employees or contractors
- Strategic changes (pivot)
- Additional fundraising
- B2B partnerships
Control Mechanisms
- Monthly: Financial review (revenue, expenses, cash flow)
- Quarterly: Strategic review (KPIs, roadmap, adjustments)
- Ongoing: Transparent reporting — both founders see every transaction
Founders' Agreement
| Clause | Detail |
|---|---|
| IP Ownership | All IP created belongs to the company |
| Non-Compete | No competing product during activity term |
| Data Ownership | All customer data, code, databases belong to company |
| Dispute Resolution | Mediation before legal proceedings |
| Exit Clauses | Clear mechanism if founder wishes to leave |
| Vesting | 4 years with 1-year cliff — protects both parties |
7.5 Future Hires & Advisory Board
Future Hiring Plan
| Period | Role | Type | Prerequisite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year 2 | Developer (Part-Time) | Contractor | English localization for UK expansion |
| Year 2 | UK Market Advisor | Contractor | Local knowledge — regulation, culture, marketing |
| Year 2+ | Customer Support | Contractor/Part-Time | When user base grows beyond AI capacity |
| After Rotem's transition | Rotem full-time CTO | Employee | Transition triggers met (see Section 12) |
Hiring Principles: No speculative hires; contractors before employees; growth-focused; protect runway.
Advisory Board (In Progress)
Pediatric Sleep Medicine
Clinical credibility, regulatory navigation, methodology validation
0.25-0.5% equity
AI/ML Advisor
Architecture review, model safety, scaling guidance
0.25-0.5% equity
SaaS Growth Advisor
GTM strategy, B2B sales, Unit Economics optimization
0.25-0.5% equity
7.6 Summary — Investor FAQs
| Question | Answer |
|---|---|
| Why only two people? | That is all needed at this stage. Technology + methodology = product. |
| Where is the CMO? | Dorit — with existing brand, client base, and social media presence. |
| Where is the full-time CTO? | Rotem — 15-20 hours/week now, transitioning to full-time when numbers prove it. |
| Why no development team? | Rotem is building MVP himself. Additional team hired when revenue justifies it. |
| Why no salaries? | Both founders can afford it — 100% of money goes to product. |
| What if one leaves? | Founders' agreement with vesting, exit clauses, company IP ownership. |
| Why 50/50? | Without technology: no product. Without methodology: no value. Both equal. |
8. Operations Plan
8.1 General Overview
Numi's operations are built on: lean, fast, and data-driven. Instead of building a full application, we launch an AI agent inside WhatsApp — enabling rapid launch (3 months to MVP), low operating costs (~$7,000/month), and zero app-download friction.
8.2 Technology Stack
| Layer | Technology | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| AI Framework | Google ADK (Agent Development Kit) | Purpose-built for multi-agent systems, native Gemini integration |
| AI Model | Gemini 2.0 Flash | Cost-efficient, fast, strong Hebrew support, Google ecosystem |
| Primary Channel | WhatsApp Business API | >95% penetration in Israel, parents use daily |
| Web Interface | Next.js (React) | Dashboards, data visualization, admin panel |
| Database | PostgreSQL with pgvector | Relational data + vector embeddings for RAG |
| RAG Pipeline | Custom-built on Google Cloud | Retrieval from Dorit's methodology knowledge base |
| Cloud Infrastructure | Google Cloud Platform (GCP) | Full integration with ADK and Gemini |
| Monitoring | Google Cloud Monitoring + Logging | Native integration, cost-effective |
| CI/CD | GitHub Actions | Automated deployment, automated testing |
8.3 Why Google ADK + Gemini (Not OpenAI)
1. Native Multi-Agent Support
ADK designed for orchestrating multiple agents (sleep, nutrition, siblings, memory). Built-in routing, context management, error handling. OpenAI requires custom orchestration — adding 2-3 months development time.
2. Hebrew Language Support
Gemini demonstrates strong Hebrew performance, including cultural contexts and local expressions. Critical for speaking to Israeli mothers at 2 AM like an experienced consultant, not a translation engine.
3. Cost Efficiency
| Model | Cost (500 clients) |
|---|---|
| Gemini 2.0 Flash | $150-300/mo |
| GPT-4o | $3,000-6,000/mo |
Potential difference: 10-20x in AI cost. For a startup with $7,000 monthly burn, this is the difference between viability and runway threat.
4. Unified Ecosystem
ADK + Gemini + Google Cloud = seamless ecosystem. Data flows from WhatsApp through ADK to Gemini and back, with all components communicating natively. No translation layers between different cloud providers.
8.4 System Architecture
+-------------------+
| WhatsApp API |
| (Primary |
| Communication |
| Channel) |
+---------+---------+
|
+---------+---------+
| Google ADK |
| Agent Router |
| (Primary Agent |
| Router) |
+---------+---------+
|
+----------+--------+--------+----------+
| | | |
+-----+------+ +-------+---+ +--+--------+ +------+-------+
| Sleep Agent | | Nutrition | | Siblings | | Memory Agent |
| | | Agent | | Agent | | Long-Term |
| | | | | | | Memory |
| P0 - MVP | | | | | | |
+-----+------+ +-------+---+ +--+--------+ +------+-------+
| | | |
+----------+--------+--------+----------+
|
+---------+---------+
| Gemini 2.0 |
| Flash + RAG |
+---------+---------+
|
+---------------+---------------+
| |
+-----+--------+ +--------+--------+
| PostgreSQL | | Dorit's |
| + pgvector | | Knowledge Base |
| (User Data) | | (Book, Content, |
| | | Methodology) |
+--------------+ +-----------------+
Agent Descriptions
Sleep Agent (P0, MVP)
Core agent: baby profile collection, personalized sleep plan, real-time guidance, progress monitoring, plan adjustment
Nutrition Agent (P1, Phase 2)
Feeding-sleep connection: tracking routines, night feeding recommendations, synchronizing feeding/sleep times, distinguishing hunger from habit
Siblings Agent (P1, Phase 3)
Multi-child families: parallel schedules, room-sharing, mutual disturbances, coordinating transitions
Memory Agent (P1, Phase 3)
Long-term context: tracking development, identifying regressions, adapting to developmental stages, cumulative knowledge
Architectural Principles
- WhatsApp-First: Entire UX runs through WhatsApp. No app download, no new account, no new interface.
- RAG-Based Knowledge: AI responses from Dorit's knowledge base, not model's "general knowledge." Ensures accuracy, prevents hallucinations.
- Stateful Conversations: Full context maintained. AI remembers what was said a week ago, what the plan is, progress.
- Graceful Escalation: When AI uncertain (low confidence, medical case, unusual situation) — auto-escalates to Dorit.
- Cost-Aware Design: Every decision examined through cost lens. No room for waste at $7,000/month.
8.5 Development Roadmap
Phase 1: MVP
Months 1-3
First paying customer
Prove product works
Phase 2: Product-Market Fit
Months 3-6
25-50 customers
Validate PMF
Phase 3: Growth Features
Months 6-12
100-200 customers
Build retention
Phase 4: UK Expansion
Months 9-12
UK infrastructure
Localization
Phase 1: MVP (Months 1-3)
| Feature | Description | Priority |
|---|---|---|
| WhatsApp Bot | AI conversation through WhatsApp Business API | P0 |
| Sleep Agent | Consulting based on Dorit's methodology | P0 |
| RAG Pipeline | Knowledge retrieval from Dorit's content (book, lectures) | P0 |
| Intake Questionnaire | Baby profile + sleep history through natural conversation | P0 |
| Payment Integration | Annual subscription via website, link from WhatsApp | P0 |
| "Dorit's Clock" | Response delay timer — managing wait periods before room entry | P0 |
Milestones: Month 1: Infrastructure, WhatsApp API, RAG build | Month 2: End-to-end sleep agent, intake, Dorit testing | Month 3: 10+ beta users, bug fixes, limited launch
Phase 2: Product-Market Fit (Months 3-6)
| Feature | Description | Priority |
|---|---|---|
| Nutrition Agent | Tracking feeding-sleep connection | P1 |
| Web Dashboard | Sleep data visualization for parents | P1 |
| Proactive Alerts | AI messages based on identified patterns | P0 |
| Sleep Plan Generator | Personalized multi-week sleep plan | P0 |
| Review Panel for Dorit | Dashboard for edge cases, escalated conversations | P1 |
Goal: 25-50 paying customers, AI accuracy >90%
Phase 3: Growth Features (Months 6-12)
| Feature | Description | Priority |
|---|---|---|
| Siblings Agent | Multi-child sleep coordination | P1 |
| Long-Term Memory | Cross-month developmental tracking | P1 |
| Regression Prediction | Identifying sleep regressions before they occur | P1 |
| Referral Mechanism | Built-in referral system for existing parents | P1 |
| Analytics Dashboard | Business metrics: revenue, churn, usage | P1 |
Goal: 100-200 customers, all four agents active, referral mechanism
Phase 4: UK Expansion (Months 9-12)
| Feature | Description | Priority |
|---|---|---|
| English Localization | Full platform translation + cultural adaptation | P1 |
| Multi-Region Deployment | Google Cloud UK region | P1 |
| UK Pricing | Payment in GBP | P1 |
| UK Compliance | GDPR compliance, local data storage | P0 |
Goal: UK infrastructure ready for launch
8.6 Performance Targets & Monitoring
Monitoring Tools
| Tool | Function |
|---|---|
| Google Cloud Monitoring | System performance, uptime, latency |
| Google Cloud Logging | Detailed logs of every conversation and action |
| PostgreSQL Analytics | Usage metrics, customer behavior, retention |
| Custom Dashboard (Next.js) | Business metrics: revenue, clients, CAC, LTV |
8.7 Security & Privacy
| Domain | Measure | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Encryption in Transit | TLS 1.3 for all communications | Built into GCP and WhatsApp |
| Encryption at Rest | AES-256 for all data in PostgreSQL | Built into Google Cloud SQL |
| Israeli Privacy Law | Compliance with Privacy Protection Law, 5741-1981 | In planning, pre-launch |
| GDPR | Full compliance (for UK expansion) | In planning, pre-launch |
| No Data Sharing | No sharing of personal info with third parties | Fixed policy |
| Right to Deletion | Parents can request data deletion anytime | In development |
| AI Safety Guardrails | Medical content filtering, auto-escalation in edge cases | In development |
Medical Case Handling: Numi is not a medical product. In cases with signs of medical issues, psychological distress, or complex medical conditions, AI identifies and escalates immediately to Dorit or refers to doctor/emergency hotline.
8.8 Key Milestones (24 Months)
Month 1-3
Milestone: MVP on WhatsApp with Sleep Agent
Success Metric: 10+ beta users, AI accuracy >85%
Month 3-6
Milestone: First paying customers
Success Metric: 25-50 paying customers, satisfaction >80%
Month 6-9
Milestone: Nutrition and Siblings agents
Success Metric: 100-200 customers, AI accuracy >90%
Month 9-12
Milestone: UK expansion preparation
Success Metric: 200-500 customers, English localization complete
Month 12 ★ Break-Even: 280 Customers
Milestone: Operational break-even — revenue covers costs
Success Metric: 280+ active customers, $7,000+ monthly revenue
Month 12-18
Milestone: UK launch + growth
Success Metric: 400-1,000 customers (Israel + UK)
Month 18-24 ★ Scale + Loan Repayment
Milestone: Scale, loan fully repaid
Success Metric: 800-2,000 customers, loan fully repaid
8.9 Technology Risk Management
| Risk | Probability | Impact | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Google changes ADK/Gemini pricing | Medium | High | Modular architecture enables switch to another model (Claude, Llama) within weeks |
| WhatsApp Business API restrictions | Low | High | Building infrastructure for alternative channels (Telegram, SMS, Web Chat) early |
| Data breach | Low | Very High | Encryption at all layers, principle of least privilege, monthly access audit |
| AI gives incorrect advice | Medium | High | RAG reduces hallucinations, clear disclaimers, escalation mechanism, sample auditing |
| Slow response times | Low-Medium | Medium | Smart caching, prompt optimization, CDN |
9. Financial Plan & Projections
Financial Executive Summary
9.1 Investment Structure
Owner's Loan: $100K
| Detail | Description |
|---|---|
| Funding Type | Owner's Loan from Dorit to company |
| Amount | $100,000 (~370,000 NIS) |
| Repayment Terms | From company profits, first priority before dividend distribution |
| Ownership Split | 50% Rotem / 50% Dorit |
| Database & IP | Belong to company; Dorit's methodology licensed to company |
| External VC | None — zero dilution, full control |
Why Owner's Loan vs. Venture Capital?
| Criterion | Owner's Loan ($100K) | Venture Capital ($500K) |
|---|---|---|
| Ownership dilution | 0% — 100% ownership retained | 16.7% to external investors |
| Control | Full — both partners only | Board of directors, investor veto rights |
| Growth pressure | None — healthy pace | Aggressive — demand 10x in 3-5 years |
| Personal risk | Limited — $100K only | High — expectations for $5M+ ARR |
| Time to revenue | 3-4 months (existing audience) | 6-9 months (building from scratch) |
| Investment return | First priority from profits | Only at exit (sale/IPO) |
9.2 Monthly Burn Rate (Year 1)
| Category | Monthly (NIS) | Monthly ($) | Annual ($) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google Cloud + Gemini API | 1,850-3,700 | $500-$1,000 | $6K-$12K | Scales with users |
| WhatsApp Business API | 740-1,850 | $200-$500 | $2.4K-$6K | Per-message pricing |
| Marketing & Advertising | 18,500 | $5,000 | $60K | Facebook, Instagram, Google, content |
| Domain, Hosting, Tools | 740 | $200 | $2.4K | Vercel, GitHub, dev tools |
| Legal & Accounting | 1,850 | $500 | $6K | CPA, attorney, company formation |
| Rotem's Salary | 0 | $0 | $0 | Employed at Bigabid |
| Dorit's Salary | 0 | $0 | $0 | Revenue Share model |
| Total | ~23,700-26,600 | ~$6,400-$7,200 | ~$77K-$86K |
Use of Funds Breakdown
The Critical Number: 14-Month Runway
$100,000 / $7,000 per month = ~14.3 months
Even if not a single dollar comes in, the company has nearly 1.5 years of survival runway. But revenue expected from Month 3-4 thanks to Dorit's existing client base.
| Scenario | Capital Burned | Capital Remaining |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative (revenue from M6) | ~$42K | ~$58K |
| Base (revenue from M4) | ~$28K | ~$72K |
| Optimistic (revenue from M3) | ~$21K | ~$79K |
9.3 Revenue Model
Pricing & Payment Structure
| Package | Annual Price ($) | Annual (NIS) | Company Share ($) | Company Share (NIS) | What's Included |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basic | $400 | ~1,500 | $200 | ~740 | Single parent, one child, sleep agent only |
| Pro | $750 | ~2,775 | $375 | ~1,388 | Two parents, professional agent (intern/trainee), sleep + nutrition |
| Premium | $800 | ~2,960 | $400 | ~1,480 | Up to 3 children (siblings), full family + team, all agents + memory |
| Average | $600 | ~2,220 | $300 | ~1,110 | = $25/month per client to company |
Why Annual Upfront Payment?
Advantages
- Positive cash flow — money upfront
- High commitment — client paid $600, committed to success
- Low churn — no monthly exit points
- Financial planning — revenue known in advance
- High perceived value — $600/year = $50/mo, 70% cheaper than private consultant
Per-Client Revenue Breakdown
Client pays $600/year (avg)
|
+----+----+
| |
50% 50%
| |
$300 $300
To To the
Consultant Company
|
$25/month/client
= Net revenue9.4 Break-Even Analysis
Break-Even: Revenue vs Expenses
When Does Break-Even Occur?
| Scenario | Month Reaching 280 Clients | Capital Burned | Capital Remaining |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Month 12 | ~$60K | ~$40K |
| Base | Month 9 | ~$45K | ~$55K |
| Optimistic | Month 6 | ~$30K | ~$70K |
9.5 Three-Year Projections (Three Scenarios)
Revenue Growth: Three Scenarios
Conservative Scenario
Slow growth, low conversion, limited marketing, strong competition
| Metric | Year 1 (Israel) | Year 2 (Israel + UK) | Year 3 (+ US) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paying Clients (end of year) | 100 | 400 | 1,200 |
| Avg Price (company share) | $300/year | $300/year | $350/year |
| Annual Revenue | $30K | $120K | $420K |
| Annual Expenses | $84K | $180K | $350K |
| EBITDA | -$54K | -$60K | +$70K |
Base Case Scenario
Reasonable growth, Dorit's existing client base, targeted marketing, UK entry Year 2
| Metric | Year 1 (Israel) | Year 2 (Israel + UK) | Year 3 (+ US) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paying Clients (end of year) | 300 | 1,200 | 3,500 |
| Avg Price (company share) | $300/year | $325/year | $350/year |
| Annual Revenue | $90K | $390K | $1.23M |
| Annual Expenses | $84K | $220K | $500K |
| EBITDA | +$6K | +$170K | +$725K |
Optimistic Scenario
Dorit as strong brand, virality in parenting communities, Premium pricing works, UK succeeds quickly
| Metric | Year 1 (Israel) | Year 2 (Israel + UK) | Year 3 (+ US) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paying Clients (end of year) | 500 | 2,000 | 6,000 |
| Avg Price (company share) | $325/year | $350/year | $375/year |
| Annual Revenue | $163K | $700K | $2.25M |
| Annual Expenses | $86K | $300K | $700K |
| EBITDA | +$77K | +$400K | +$1.55M |
Scenario Comparison
| Metric | Conservative | Base | Optimistic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 Clients | 100 | 300 | 500 |
| Year 3 Clients | 1,200 | 3,500 | 6,000 |
| Year 1 Revenue | $30K | $90K | $163K |
| Year 3 Revenue | $420K | $1.23M | $2.25M |
| Year 3 EBITDA | +$70K | +$725K | +$1.55M |
| Loan Repayment | Year 3 | Year 2 | Year 1 |
| Profitability | Year 3 | End of Year 1 | Year 1 |
| ROI on $100K | x0.7 (Y1) → x4.2 (Y3) | x0.9 (Y1) → x12.2 (Y3) | x1.6 (Y1) → x22.5 (Y3) |
9.6 Profitability & ROI
Three-Year P&L Overview
Return on Investment for Dorit
| Scenario | Loan Repaid? | When? | Value of 50% Ownership (Year 3) | Total ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Yes | Year 3 | ~$500K-$1M | x5-x10 |
| Base | Yes | Year 2 | ~$1.5M-$3M | x15-x30 |
| Optimistic | Yes | Year 1 | ~$3M-$6M | x30-x60 |
Asymmetric Bet
Downside: Maximum loss of $100K (~370K NIS) — and only if everything fails completely
Upside: 50% ownership in company generating $1.2M+ revenue in Year 3 (base case). Ownership value: $1.5M-$3M+
Risk/Reward Ratio: $100K → $1.5M-$3M = x15-x30
9.7 Sensitivity Analysis
| Variable | Change | Impact on Break-Even | Impact on Year 1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg price drops to $400 (from $600) | Company share = $200 | 420 clients (vs 280) | Larger loss, but within runway |
| Marketing expenses x1.5 | $90K annual (vs $60K) | 380 clients | Additional loss of ~$30K |
| Growth 50% slower | 150 clients (vs 300) in Y1 | Break-even at Month 18 | Loss of ~$39K, $61K remaining |
| Gemini API cost doubles | $18K annual (vs $9K) | 300 clients | Small impact — additional $9K |
| Disaster scenario (all above) | All variables negative | ~500 clients | Loss of ~$70K; $30K remaining; 4+ months runway |
Even in worst-case scenario, company retains $30K and several months to correct course or wind down orderly. Maximum loss is $100K — likely much lower.
9.8 Key Assumptions & Sources
Financial Assumptions
| Assumption | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Average price per client | $600/year | Average between Basic ($400) and Premium ($800) |
| Revenue split | 50/50 (consultant/platform) | Standard in SaaS-for-experts market |
| USD/NIS exchange rate | 3.70 | Average rate 2025-2026 |
| Gemini API cost per conversation | ~$0.01-$0.05 | Google Gemini 2.0 Flash pricing |
| WhatsApp cost per message | ~$0.005-$0.05 | Meta Cloud API pricing (varies by type) |
| CAC Israel | ~$50-$100 | Targeted digital marketing + referrals |
| CAC UK | ~$100-$200 | New market, awareness from scratch |
| Annual customer retention | ~70% | Annual subscription renewals |
Market Data Sources
| Data Point | Source |
|---|---|
| Baby sleep apps market: $420M (2024) | Grand View Research, Allied Market Research |
| CAGR 12-13% | Grand View Research |
| 60% of parents struggle with sleep | American Academy of Pediatrics |
| 180,000 annual births in Israel | Israel Central Bureau of Statistics |
| ~700K annual births in UK | ONS (Office for National Statistics) |
9.9 Summary — Why This Investment Makes Sense
1. Capital Protection
- Monthly burn only $7K = 14 months runway with $0 revenue
- Revenue begins Month 3-4 thanks to existing audience
- Actual risk: far less than $100K
2. Asymmetric Bet
- Downside: limited to $100K (owner's loan, not "thrown away")
- Upside: 50% ownership in multi-million dollar potential company
- Risk/reward ratio: 1:15 to 1:60
3. Revenue from Day 1
- Dorit already active consultant with client audience
- Product accelerates and scales existing business
- Not startup from zero — upgrade of existing business
4. Conservative Numbers
- Break-even: only 280 clients
- Market: 10,800+ Israeli parents willing to pay
- 280/10,800 = less than 3% penetration
5. Fair Structure
- 50/50 — equal partnership
- Loan repaid with first priority
- Data belongs to company
- No external dilution
| Question | Answer |
|---|---|
| How much money needed? | $100K (~370,000 NIS) |
| Worst case scenario? | Lose part of $100K, but not all |
| Best case scenario? | 50% ownership in company worth $3M-$10M+ |
| When is loan repaid? | 12-24 months (depends on scenario) |
| When profitability reached? | End of Year 1 (base), Year 3 (conservative) |
| Who is in control? | Rotem and Dorit — 50/50, no external investors |
10. Risk Analysis and Mitigation Plan
This is not an "all or nothing" bet. This is an asymmetric bet — a situation where the downside is limited and predefined ($100K), while the upside is open and expansive (50% ownership in an AI platform in a $1.25B market).
10.1 Risk 1: Technology Risk — AI Quality
Risk Assessment
| Probability | Low |
| Impact | High |
| Urgency | Months 1-6 |
Mitigation
- POC is working — proven on Google ADK + Gemini
- RAG from Dorit's methodology — not generic AI
- Dorit validates — ongoing review in Year 1
- Safety guardrails — medical escalation, filtering
- Mature tech — Google ADK proven infrastructure
10.2 Risk 2: Market Risk — Not Enough Customers
Why Impact is Medium (Not High)
- Low operating costs ($7K/month) — long runway even with slow growth
- Revenue begins early thanks to Dorit's existing client base
- Israeli market is starting point — UK and US expansion planned
- No AI competitor in Hebrew — Blue Ocean market
- $60K/year marketing budget supplements organic growth
10.3 Risk 3: Competitive Risk — Huckleberry Enters Hebrew Market
Assessment
| Probability | Low (1-2 year window) |
| Impact | Medium |
| Urgency | Year 2+ |
Numi's Advantages
- Israeli market too small for global competitors
- Hebrew is more than translation — RTL, cultural nuances
- WhatsApp integration — Israel is WhatsApp-first
- Dorit's recognized methodology vs. generic approach
- First-mover advantage in small market is strong
- Agentic AI vs. Reactive AI — architectural difference
10.4 Risk 4: Founder Risk — Rotem's Limited Time While Employed
Mitigation
- MVP can be built evenings/weekends — 15-20 hrs/week sufficient
- Google ADK reduces complexity — weeks instead of months
- Clear transition triggers — Rotem goes full-time at 1,000 customers (Section 12)
- AI operates 24/7 — no human bottleneck after launch
- Dorit covers all non-technical work — clean division of labor
10.5 Risk 5: Regulatory Risk — AI Health Consultation Regulation
Assessment
| Probability | Low (1-2 year window) |
| Impact | Low-Medium |
| Urgency | Year 2+ (mainly US) |
Protection
- Numi provides parenting guidance — not medical advice
- Clear disclaimers in every conversation
- Automatic escalation for medical questions
- Dorit's professional credentials add legitimacy
- Israel's regulatory environment is permissive
10.6 Capital Protection — Five Scenarios
| Scenario | Monthly Burn | Revenue Start | Loan Repayment | Capital at Risk | Remaining Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Case | $7K/mo | Month 3 | Months 12-14 | $21K (~78K ILS) | $79K + revenue |
| Base Case | $7K/mo | Months 4-6 | Month 25 | $42K (~155K ILS) | $58K + revenue |
| Conservative | $7K/mo | Months 6-9 | Months 30-33 | $63K (~233K ILS) | $37K + revenue |
| Bad | $7K/mo | Month 12+ | Month 30+ | $84K (~311K ILS) | IP preserved |
| Catastrophic | $7K/mo | Never | Never | $100K (~370K ILS) | IP worth $55K-$120K |
10.7 Why Even Worst-Case is Manageable
IP Assets Preserved
| Asset | Estimated Value |
|---|---|
| Numi Platform (code, architecture) | $30K-$60K |
| Codified Methodology (AI/content) | $10K-$20K |
| Intellectual Property Rights | $10K-$30K |
| Data Repository & Market Insights | $5K-$10K |
| Total | $55K-$120K |
Personal Protection
- Maximum loss is known: $100K (~370K ILS) — no surprises
- Dorit's consulting unaffected — continues as before
- Rotem retains Bigabid position — no livelihood risk
- No future obligations — no guarantees, no hidden debts
- Owner's loan — internal debt, Dorit owns 50%
10.8 Why the Upside Justifies the Risk
| Active Customers | Annual Revenue | Company Share (50%) | Dorit's Ownership Share | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280 | $168,000 | $84,000 | $42,000 | Break-even |
| 1,000 | $600,000 | $300,000 | $150,000 | Loan repaid + profit |
| 3,500 | $2,100,000 | $1,050,000 | $525,000 | Significant profit |
| 5,000 | $3,000,000 | $1,500,000 | $750,000 | Large profitable business |
Company Valuation Potential (Year 3): At $1.2M ARR × 10-20x revenue multiple = $12M-$24M valuation. Dorit's 50% = $6M-$12M.
10.9 Risk-Adjusted Return Summary
| Scenario | Probability | Outcome | Expected Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Catastrophic (total loss) | 5% | -$100K | -$5K |
| Bad (partial loss) | 10% | -$50K | -$5K |
| Conservative (repayment + small profit) | 25% | +$150K | +$37.5K |
| Base case (significant profit) | 40% | +$500K-$1M | +$300K |
| Optimistic (large profit) | 20% | +$2M-$5M | +$700K |
| Weighted Expected Value | +$1,027,500 | ||
Interpretation: For every dollar invested, the expected value (probability-weighted) is approximately $10 in return. This is an excellent risk/return ratio.
10.10 Summary Risk Matrix
| Risk | Probability | Impact | Score | Primary Mitigation | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology (AI underperforms) | Low | High | Medium | POC working; RAG; Dorit validates | POC Active |
| Market (insufficient customers) | Medium | Medium | Medium | 280 to break-even; existing audience; Blue Ocean | 14mo runway |
| Competitive (competitor entry) | Low | Medium | Low-Med | First-mover; WhatsApp; methodology | Advantage |
| Founder (limited time) | Medium | Medium | Medium | Google ADK; triggers in Section 12 | POC Built |
| Regulatory (AI regulation) | Low | Low-Med | Low | Parenting guidance; auto-escalation | In Progress |
11. Loan Repayment Plan
Executive Summary
Loan Terms
- Loan Type: Owner's Loan
- Lender: Dorit Kreizer
- Borrower: Agentic AI Ltd.
- Interest Rate: 0%
- Priority: Full priority over profit distribution (dividends) to shareholders
- Repayment: From company profits, base case month 30-32, conservative month 36+
Revenue Structure
| Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Annual price per customer (range) | $400-$800/year |
| Average price per customer | ~$600/year (~2,220 ILS) |
| Split | 50/50 (consultant/company) |
| Net revenue to company per customer | ~$300/year (~1,110 ILS) |
| Monthly revenue to company per customer | ~$25/month (~92.5 ILS) |
Monthly break-even: $7,000 ÷ $25 = 280 active customers
Cash Flow Distribution Priority
|
v
Priority 2: Owner's loan repayment ($100,000)
|
v
Priority 3: UK market expansion fund
|
v
Priority 4: Profit distribution to shareholders (dividends)
Implication: Every shekel of profit beyond operating costs goes to loan repayment first. Shareholder dividends begin only after full loan repayment.
Three Repayment Scenarios
Scenario A: Conservative
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Customers at Month 6 | 10 |
| Customers at Month 12 | 50 |
| Customers at Month 18 | 150 |
| Customers at Month 24 | 280 (break-even) |
| Total cumulative deficit (months 1-24) | ~$112,000 |
| Required action | Reduce costs to ~$5,500/mo from month 15 |
| Full repayment (projection) | Month 36+ |
Scenario B: Base Case
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Customers at Month 6 | 25 |
| Customers at Month 12 | 100 |
| Customers at Month 18 | 280 (break-even) |
| Customers at Month 24 | 490 |
| Capital consumed for operations (months 1-18) | $81,600 (~302K ILS) |
| Cash reserve remaining | $18,400 (~68K ILS) |
| Cumulative repayment from surplus (months 19-24) | $17,375 (~64K ILS) |
| Loan balance at month 24 | $82,625 (~306K ILS) |
| Full repayment (projection) | Month 30-32 |
Scenario C: Optimistic
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Customers at Month 6 | 50 |
| Customers at Month 12 | 200 |
| Customers at Month 14 | 280 (break-even) |
| Customers at Month 24 | 900 |
| Capital consumed for operations (months 1-14) | $60,800 (~225K ILS) |
| Cash reserve remaining | $39,200 (~145K ILS) |
| Cumulative surplus months 15-24 | $76,500 (~283K ILS) |
| Full repayment (projection) | Month 23 |
Scenario Comparison
| Metric | Conservative | Base Case | Optimistic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operational break-even | Month 24 | Month 18 | Month 14 |
| Loan repayment begins | Month 25+ | Month 19 | Month 15 |
| Full repayment (projection) | Month 36+ | Month 30-32 | Month 23 |
| Maximum capital at risk | $100,000 | $100,000 | $100,000 |
| Residual risk | Low | Low | Very low |
Lender Protection Mechanisms
Protection 1: Asset Lien
Loan secured by lien on all company assets: Numi platform (code, architecture), data, IP, AI models, methodology rights. IP assets retain $55K-$120K value even in failure.
Protection 2: Transparent Reporting
Monthly financial reports to all partners: P&L, cash flow, customer metrics, loan balance, repayment forecast, deviations with corrective steps.
Protection 3: Expense Governance
Expenses >$1,000 require joint approval. All new contracts, salary changes, and marketing overruns need partner consent.
Protection 4: Liquidation Priority
In liquidation: 1) External debts, 2) Owner's loan ($100K), 3) Shareholder distribution. Loan is repaid before any dividends.
Protection 5: Company Data Ownership
All code, data, IP owned by company (not founder personally). Assets secured within company, independent of individuals.
Protection 6: Low Burn Rate
$7K/month burn rate is 4-14x lower than typical startups. Slow capital consumption = long runway to correct, pivot, or wind down.
Protection 7: Existing Client Base
Dorit has active clients, book generates traffic, thousands of social followers, established reputation. Zero-revenue risk is extremely low.
Summary and Recommendation
Repayment Timeline:
- Optimistic scenario: Full repayment Month 23
- Base case scenario: Full repayment Month 30-32
- Conservative scenario: Full repayment Month 36
Bottom line: This is a low-risk loan with multiple protection mechanisms, clear repayment path, and real assets securing the funds.
12. Founder Transition Plan
Current Status
| Detail | Data |
|---|---|
| Current Employer | Bigabid (AdTech, publicly traded) |
| Role | Senior Software Engineer |
| Gross Salary | 52,323 ILS per month |
| Net Salary (estimate) | ~35,000 ILS per month |
| Salary Cost to Agentic AI | 0 ILS — Rotem draws no salary from company |
| Time Dedicated to Numi | Evenings, weekends, vacation days |
Implication: In Year 1, Rotem's salary cost is zero. The $100K loan goes entirely to product, marketing, and growth. Rotem supports his family from his current salary, allowing the company to run lean.
Transition Trigger: When Does Rotem Move to Full-Time?
The Formula
Transition Trigger: Company net monthly profit ≥ 2x Rotem's net salary
| Rotem's net salary | ~35,000 ILS per month |
| Safety multiplier | 2x |
| Required net profit | ~70,000 ILS/month = ~$18,900/month |
| Monthly operating expenses | ~$7,000/month |
| Required monthly revenue | ~$25,900/month |
Why a 2x Multiplier?
- Pay Rotem competitive salary (~52K ILS/month)
- Continue covering operating expenses
- Maintain growth pace (marketing + development)
- Service existing obligations (loan repayments)
- Provide safety cushion (no cash flow pressure)
Required Customer Count by Price Level
| Price Level | Annual Price | Company Share (50%) | Monthly Rev/Customer | Customers for Transition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basic ($400/year) | $400 | $200 | $16.67 | ~1,554 |
| Pro ($750/year) | $750 | $375 | $31.25 | ~829 |
| Premium ($800/year) | $800 | $400 | $33.33 | ~777 |
| Weighted Avg ($600/year) | $600 | $300 | $25.00 | ~1,036 |
Bottom line: Once Numi has approximately 1,000 active paying customers at weighted average $600/year, Rotem can execute the transition.
Timeline Scenarios
Conservative Scenario: Transition Months 24-30
- Growth rate: Slow — organic marketing primarily
- Reach 1,000 customers: Month 24
- Trend validation: Months 24-27 (3+ stable months)
- Resignation submission: Month 27
- Actual transition: Month 29-30
- Risk: Very low — clear data before decision
Base Case Scenario: Transition Months 18-24
- Growth rate: Moderate — paid marketing + Dorit's network
- Reach 1,000 customers: Month 18-20
- Trend validation: Months 18-21
- Resignation submission: Month 21
- Actual transition: Month 23-24
- Risk: Low — aligned with break-even (month 18)
Optimistic Scenario: Transition Months 12-18
- Growth rate: Fast — viral success, aggressive marketing
- Reach 1,000 customers: Month 12-14
- Trend validation: Months 12-15
- Resignation submission: Month 15
- Actual transition: Month 17-18
- Risk: Low-Medium — data supports but shorter history
Risk Management — Five Layers of Protection
Proven Numbers Required
Transition contingent on at least 3 consecutive months of revenue above threshold. One good month isn't enough — stable, sustained trend required.
2x Safety Multiplier
Requirement for net profit double Rotem's salary provides wide cushion. Even if revenue drops 30% post-transition, company can still pay salary + expenses.
If Growth Stalls — Rotem Stays
No financial risk to company or family. If Numi doesn't hit threshold, Rotem continues at Bigabid, contributing in free time. Company operates without founder salary costs.
Dorit's Independence
Dorit continues independent sleep consulting. Her personal income doesn't depend on Numi's success. Both founders maintain financial stability even if delayed.
Zero Salary Obligations Until Transition
Until trigger is met, Agentic AI salary expenses are zero — both founders contribute without salary. This extends the loan runway significantly.
Work Arrangement Before Transition
Rotem Levi (CTO / Co-Founder)
- Evenings (2-3 hrs/day): Product development, AI architecture, team management
- Weekends (6-8 hrs): Development sprints, code reviews, technical planning
- Vacation days: Strategic tasks, investor meetings, product demos
- Total: ~15-20 hours per week
Dorit Kreizer (Sleep Expert / Co-Founder)
- Consulting hours: Client sessions (personal income + data for AI)
- Content creation: Writing, recordings, marketing materials
- AI training: Reviewing/validating AI responses, training data
- Marketing: Social media, professional network promotion
- Total: ~15-25 hours per week
Combined contribution: ~30-45 hours/week at no salary cost. Market equivalent: $8K-$12K/month in personnel costs saved.
Pre-Transition Indicators
| Indicator | Minimum Threshold | Ideal Threshold |
|---|---|---|
| Active paying customers | 800+ | 1,200+ |
| MRR | $20,000+ | $30,000+ |
| Monthly operating profit | $15,000+ | $20,000+ |
| Revenue trend (3 months) | Rising or stable | Consistently rising |
| Monthly churn rate | <7% | <5% |
| LTV:CAC | >5x | >10x |
| Number of B2B partnerships | 1+ | 3+ |
Iron rule: All indicators must be above minimum threshold, and at least 4 out of 7 above ideal threshold, before Rotem submits resignation.
Why This is Smart: Summary for Investor
1. Zero Financial Risk Year 1
CTO salary cost = $0. All loan funds go to product and growth. Extends runway, increases ROI.
2. Skin in the Game
Rotem dedicates evenings/weekends because he believes in the product. Highest level of founder commitment.
3. Data-Driven Transition
Triggers based on numbers: revenue, customers, profitability. Not "I feel it's time" — "the numbers prove it's time."
4. Full Protection for All
Company protected (no unsustainable salary), family protected (no financial risk), Dorit protected (loan funds not to salary too early).
5. Ready for Acceleration
Once full-time, development pace doubles. From ~15-20 hrs/week to 40-50 hrs. Accelerates roadmap, shortens time to V2.0/V3.0, strengthens competitive position.
13. Appendices
Appendix A: Glossary
| Term | Explanation |
|---|---|
| Agentic AI | AI that operates autonomously — not just responding to questions, but initiating actions, monitoring, deciding, and executing tasks independently. Numi's fundamental differentiation vs. competitors. |
| RAG | Retrieval-Augmented Generation — AI technique where model searches defined knowledge base (Dorit's methodology) for relevant info, then builds personalized answer. Reduces hallucinations, ensures accuracy. |
| Google ADK | Agent Development Kit — Google's platform for building multi-agent systems. Provides infrastructure for agent coordination, memory, tool execution, query routing. Numi's tech foundation. |
| Gemini 2.0 Flash | Google AI model — fast, cost-effective, accurate. Selected for strong Hebrew support, <3 sec response time, cost 10-20x lower than GPT-4o. |
| Owner's Loan | Loan from shareholder (Dorit) to company (Agentic AI). No dilution. Repaid from profits with first priority before dividends. Amount: $100K (~370K ILS). |
| Revenue Share | Business model splitting customer revenue 50/50 between consultant (Dorit) and company (Agentic AI). Example: $600/year = $300 Dorit, $300 company. |
| Vesting | Founder shares vest gradually over 4 years. Protects company if founder leaves early. 1-year cliff — leaving before 1 year forfeits all shares. |
| EBITDA | Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization. Standard measure of operational profitability. |
| CAC | Customer Acquisition Cost — average cost to acquire one paying customer. Numi's weighted CAC (Israel): $30-$80 (low, thanks to organic channels). |
| LTV | Lifetime Value — total revenue customer generates over usage period. Numi gross LTV: $1,200 ($600/yr × 2 yrs). Net LTV to company: $600 (50/50 split). |
| MRR | Monthly Recurring Revenue — normalized monthly income from active subscriptions. MRR = customers × monthly revenue/customer. Numi: $25/customer/mo (company share). |
| ARR | Annual Recurring Revenue. ARR = MRR × 12. Used for SaaS valuations. |
| TAM/SAM/SOM | Total/Serviceable/Obtainable Addressable Market. TAM (3 markets): $1.71B. SAM (Year 3): ~$353M. SOM (Year 3 base): $1.22M. |
| Break-even | Point where revenue = expenses. Numi: 280 active customers (monthly revenue $7K = covering operational expenses). |
| Burn Rate | Rate of capital consumption per month. Numi: ~$7K/month (~25,900 ILS). 4-14x lower than typical startups. |
| Runway | Survival time with zero revenue. Numi: ~14 months ($100K ÷ $7K/month). |
| Churn Rate | % of customers canceling subscription in given period. Numi expected: <5%/month (industry avg: 8-12%), thanks to long-term memory moat. |
| MVP | Minimum Viable Product — first version with sufficient features to serve paying customers and validate assumptions. Numi MVP: sleep agent on WhatsApp with RAG. |
| POC | Proof of Concept — initial model proving tech works. Numi POC: operational on Google ADK + Gemini 2.0 Flash, demonstrates personalized conversations. |
| Blue Ocean | Market with no direct competition (vs. Red Ocean: fierce competition). Israeli AI-based sleep consultation is Blue Ocean — no AI competitor in Hebrew. |
Appendix B: Data Sources
| Source | Data Used | Section |
|---|---|---|
| Grand View Research | Baby sleep apps market: $420M (2024) → $1.25B (2033), CAGR 12-13% | Sections 4, 9 |
| Allied Market Research | Broader baby sleep products: $6.5B (2023) → $10.2B (2032), CAGR 5.4% | Section 4 |
| CBS Israel | 181,609 births/year (2024); fertility 2.9; Q4 2024 baby boom +10% | Sections 4, 9, 10 |
| ONS UK | ~653,000 births/year (2025 provisional estimate) | Sections 4, 9 |
| CDC US | ~4.2M births/year | Sections 4, 9 |
| American Academy of Pediatrics | 60% of parents struggle with sleep; 30%+ infants have sleep problems | Sections 4, 10 |
| Israeli PMC Study | 37% of Israeli parents report baby sleep problems | Section 4 |
| Israeli Sleep Ecology Study | 72% of Israeli mothers suffer poor sleep | Section 4 |
| Accenture Digital Health (2024) | 77% of consumers open to AI-guided health advice | Section 4 |
| Google Gemini API Pricing | Gemini 2.0 Flash: $0.10/1M input tokens, $0.40/1M output tokens | Sections 8, 9 |
| Meta WhatsApp Business API | Per-message pricing ~$0.005-$0.05 (varies by type/country) | Sections 8, 9 |
| Lebesgue / SuperAds (2025) | FB/IG CPM: UK ~$10.85, US ~$20.48 | Sections 4, 6 |
| PR Newswire — Huckleberry | Berry launch Feb 5, 2026; 5B data points; $14.99/mo or $119.99/yr | Section 5 |
| ISOC-IL Israel Internet Index | 98% WhatsApp usage among Israeli adults (2024) | Sections 4, 5 |
| Statista | Smartphone penetration Israel: 91% (2025) | Section 4 |
| World Bank | Israel fertility rate: 2.9 (highest in OECD) | Sections 4, 5 |
Appendix C: Consolidated Timeline — 36 Months
March 2026
Founders' agreement signed; Agentic AI Ltd. established; bank account opened
April 2026
Owner's loan ($100K) transferred; MVP development begins
June-July 2026
MVP ready; beta launch to 10+ users; sleep agent working on WhatsApp; AI accuracy >85%
August-September 2026
First paying customers (Dorit referrals); 25-50 customers; first revenue
December 2026 (Year 1 End)
100-300 customers (scenario-dependent); nutrition & siblings agents active; AI accuracy >90%
Q1-Q2 2027
UK market prep: English localization, GDPR compliance, multi-region deployment
Q3-Q4 2027
UK market entry; UK campaigns launch; first UK customers; 400-1,200 customers total
March 2028 (Year 2 End)
Operational break-even; loan repayment begins; 280+ active customers; MRR $7K+
2028
US market entry planning; VC round prep; product proven in 2 markets; 1,200-3,500 customers
End of 2028
Full loan repayment (base case: month 30-32); loan balance $0; full profitability
Appendix D: Detailed Competitor Comparison
| Criterion | Numi | Huckleberry (Berry) | Smart Sleep Coach | Taking Cara Babies | Nanit | Israeli Consultants |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | $400-$800/yr | $120-$180/yr | $60-$96/yr | $79-$179 one-time | $299-$399 + $149/yr | 1,500-3,000 ILS one-time |
| Language | Hebrew native + English (Yr 2) | English only | English only | English only | English | Hebrew |
| Platform | WhatsApp + Web + FB + IG | App only | App only | Courses | Camera + app | Phone + WhatsApp (manual) |
| AI Type | Agentic — proactive | Reactive (Q&A) | Schedule-based | No AI | Computer vision + tracking | Human |
| Sibling Support | Yes — dedicated agent | No | No | No | No | Limited |
| 24/7 Availability | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | Yes (monitoring) | No |
| Methodology | Dorit Kreizer — specific, proven | Multiple experts — generic | P&G research — generic | Cara courses — structured | Monitoring only | Varies |
| Long-term Memory | Yes — years, across children | No | No | No | Partial (camera data) | No |
| Business Model | Annual B2C + B2B for consultants | Monthly/annual sub | Monthly/annual sub | One-time purchase | Hardware + sub | One-time package |
Key Insights:
- Numi is the only competitor combining Agentic AI + Hebrew + WhatsApp
- No competitor offers sibling logic (critical in 2.9 fertility rate market)
- All global competitors are English-only — Israeli market completely open
- Numi price higher than global ($400-$800 vs. $60-$180) but lower than private consultants (1,500-3,000 ILS), justified by WhatsApp, Hebrew, proactivity
- Berry by Huckleberry is most serious global competitor, but remains reactive, English-only, no WhatsApp
Disclaimer
This business plan contains forward-looking statements based on current expectations and assumptions. Actual results may differ materially from projections. Financial projections are estimates and should not be considered guarantees of future performance. All market data is sourced from publicly available research reports and proprietary analysis. This document is confidential and intended solely for potential investors and strategic partners of Agentic AI.
Contact:
Agentic AI
Email: contact@getnic.ai
Website: getnic.ai
Document Version: 1.0 | February 2026 | Confidential